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Nonlinear local Lyapunov exponent and atmospheric predictability research

Science china Earth sciences 2006年第10期49卷 1111-1120页

作者： CHEN Baohua1, LI Jianping1,2.& DING Ruiqiang2.1. College of atmospheric sciences, Lanzhou {2., Lanzhou 730000, china 2. State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for atmospheric Science and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG), Institute of atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of sciences, Beijing 10002., china College of atmospheric sciences Lanzhou University Lanzhou China State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for atmospheric Science and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG) Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China

Because atmosphere itself is a nonlinear system and there exist some problems using the linearized equations to study the initial error growth, in this paper we try to use the error nonlinear growth theory to discuss its evolution, based on which we first put forward a new concept: nonlinear local Lyapunov exponent. It is quite different from the classic Lyapunov exponent because it may characterize the finite time error local average growth and its value depends on the initial condition, initial error, variables, evolution time, temporal and spatial scales. Based on its definition and the at-mospheric features, we provide a reasonable algorithm to the exponent for the experimental data, obtain the atmospheric initial error growth in finite time and gain the maximal prediction time. Lastly, taking 500 hPa height field as example, we discuss the application of the nonlinear local Lyapunov exponent in the study of atmospheric predictability and get some reliable results: atmospheric predictability has a distinct spatial structure. Overall, predictability shows a zonal distribution. Prediction time achieves the maximum over tropics, the second near the regions of Antarctic, it is also longer next to the Arctic and in subtropics and the mid-latitude the predictability is lowest. Particularly speaking, the average prediction time near the equation is 12.days and the maximum is located in the tropical Indian, Indonesia and the neighborhood, tropical eastern Pacific Ocean, on these regions the prediction time is about two weeks. Antarctic has a higher predictability than the neighboring latitudes and the prediction time is about 9 days. This feature is more obvious on Southern Hemispheric summer. In Arctic, the predictability is also higher than the one over mid-high latitudes but it is not pronounced as in Antarctic. Mid-high latitude of both Hemispheres (30°S―60°S, 30°―60°N) have the lowest predictability and the mean prediction time is just 3―4 d. In addition, predictab

关键词： nonlinear, local, Lyapunov exponent, atmospheric predictability, maximal prediction time.

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Interannual variability of Antarctic Oscillation and its influence on East Asian climate during boreal winter and spring

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Science china Earth sciences 2006年第5期49卷 554-560页

作者： FAN Ke1,2.3 & WANG Huijun2.1. Nansen-Zhu International Research Center, Institute of atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of sciences, Beijing 10002.,{2. 2. Department of atmospheric Science, yunnan university, kunming 650091,{2. 3. Graduate university of the Chinese Academy of sciences, Beijing 100049,{2. Nansen-Zhu International Research Center Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China Department of atmospheric Science Yunnan University Kunming China Graduate university of the Chinese Academy of sciences Beijing China

The interannual variability of Antarctic Oscillation (AAO) and its influence on East Asian climate during both boreal winter and spring are addressed. The results show that the positive AAO anomaly decreases the cold activity over East Asia during both boreal winter and spring. AAO-related barotropic meridional teleconnection from Antarctic to Arctic is found through analysis of mean me- ridional circulations. This meridional teleconnection is remarkable over Eurasia during boreal winter and over the Pacific Ocean during boreal spring. The results also show that zonal mean zonal wind at high latitudes in Southern Hemisphere has well positive correlation with that of Eurasia during boreal winter and has negative correlation with Pacific North American teleconnection (PNA) during boreal spring, which again display the meridional teleconnection. Thus, local meridional teleconnection is a possible linkage for interaction of circulations at mid-high latitudes between both hemispheres.

关键词： Antarctic Oscillation, Eurasian west wind, meridional teleconnection, mean meridional circulation.

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Pollution characteristics of atmospheric fine particles and their secondary components in the atmosphere of Shenzhen in summer and in winter

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Science china Chemistry 2006年第5期49卷 466-474页

作者： NIU Yuwen1,2.HE Lingyan1,2.HU Min2.ZHANG Jing2.& ZHAO Yunliang2.1. Shenzhen Graduate School of Peking university,Shenzhen 518055,china 2. State Joint Key Laboratory of Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control,College of Environmental {2.,Peking university,Beijing 100871,china Shenzhen Graduate School of Peking university Shenzhen China State Joint Key Laboratory of Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control College of Environmental Sciences Peking University Beijing China

Two field measurements for atmospheric fine particles were conducted in Baoan district of Shenzhen during the summer and winter in 2.04. Totally 30 sets of 2. h samples were collected, and then the mass concentrations and chemical compositions were determined. The seasonal varia- tions and secondary pollution characteristics of fine particles during the sampling periods were dis-cussed with meteorological factors. The results show that seasonal variations of atmospheric particles are significant in Shenzhen. The average mass concentrations of PM2.5 and PM10 in summer were 35 μg·m-3 and 57 μg·m-3, respectively, and those in winter were 99 μg·m-3 and 135 μg·m-3, respec-tively. The concentrations of both PM2.5 and PM10 in winter increased 184% and 137%, respectively, compared to those in summer. PM2.5 accounted for 61% and 75% of PM10 in summer and in winter, respectively, indicating severe fine particle pollution in Shenzhen. During the summer and winter sampling periods, the mean OC/EC ratios were 3.4 and 1.6, respectively. The estimated secondary organic carbon (SOC) averagely accounted for 56% and 6% of the total OC in summer and in winter, respectively, which implies a major contribution of SOC to OC in summer. During the continuous high temperature period in summer, both the concentrations and fractions of secondary aerosol compo-nents in PM2.5 were highly elevated, suggesting severe secondary pollution again. The prevailing wind was from South{2. Sea in summer, and the air quality was good. The prevailing wind in winter was from{2.'s Mainland to the north, and the polluted air mass led to poor air quality.

关键词： PM2.5, mass concentration, secondary pollution, seasonal variation, Shenzhen.

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Operator constraint principle for simplifying atmospheric dynamical equations

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Chinese Science Bulletin 2001年第12期46卷 1053-1056页

作者： LI Jianping & CHOU Jifan1. National Key Laboratory of atmospheric sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG), Institute of atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of sciences, Beijing 10002., china 2. Department of atmospheric sciences, Lanzhou university, Lanzhou 730000, china National Key Laboratory of atmospheric sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG) Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China Department of atmospheric sciences Lanzhou University Lanzhou China

Based on the qualitative theory of atmospheric dynamical equations, a new method for simplifying equations, the operator constraint principle, is presented. The general rule of the method and its mathematical strictness are discussed. Moreover, the way that how to use the method to simplify equations rationally and how to get the simplified equations with harmonious and consistent dynamics is given.

关键词： simplification operator equation operator constraint principle.

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Strengthening of the boreal winter Hadley circulation and its connection with ENSO

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Progress in Natural Science:Materials International 2007年第11期17卷 1327-1333页

作者： Ma Jie1,2.and Li Jianping2.1. College of atmospheric sciences, Lanzhou {2., Lanzhou 730000, china 2. LASG, Institute of atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of sciences, Beijing 10002., china) College of atmospheric sciences Lanzhou University Lanzhou 730000 China LASG Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Acad. of Sci. Beijing 100029 China

Empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis is carried out for the year-to-year variability of the boreal winter (DJF) mass stream function of the mean meridional circulation (MMC) during the period 1948—2.05. The results demonstrate that it is dominated by the equatorially asymmetric and symmetric modes. Further analysis shows that the former mode is linked with the boreal winter Hadley cell mainly on the decadal time-scale, and the latter on the interannual time-scale. The asymmetric mode index (AMI) with a clear upward trend contributes to the decadal strengthening of the boreal Hadley circulation, and is closely correlated with the tropical SST warming, especially in the region of Indo-west Pacific warm pool (INWP). Furthermore, the AMI also contributes to the abrupt change of the correlation coefficient between the boreal Hadley circulation and ENSO after 1976. The symmetric mode index (SMI) with robust and stable linkage with ENSO shows a significant interannual variability, suggesting that the variability of the Hadley circulation is mainly associated with ENSO on the interannual time-scale.

关键词： the Hadley circulation interannual time-scale decadal time-scale

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Existence of the solutions and the attractors for the large-scale atmospheric equations

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Science china Earth sciences 2006年第6期49卷 650-660页

作者： HUANG Haiyang1 & GUO Boling2.1. Department of Mathematics, Beijing Normal university, Beijing 100875, china 2. Institute of Applied Physics and Computational Mathematics, Beijing 100080, china Department of Mathematics Beijing Normal University Beijing China Institute of Applied Physics and Computational Mathematics Beijing China

In this paper, firstly, the proper function space is chosen, and the proper expression of the operators is introduced such that the complex large-scale atmospheric motion equations can be described by a simple and abstract equation, by which the definition of the weak solution of the atmospheric equations is made. Secondly, the existence of the weak solution for the atmospheric equations and the steady state equations is proved by using the Galerkin method. The existence of the non-empty global attractors for the atmospheric equations in the sense of the Chepyzhov-Vishik’s definition is obtained by constructing a trajectory attractor set of the atmospheric motion equations. The result obtained here is the foundation for studying the topological structure and the dynamical behavior of the atmosphere attractors. Moreover, the methods used here are also valid for studying the other atmospheric motion models.

关键词： atmosphere equations, weak solution, trajectory attractor, global attractor, equilibrium.

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The onset and advance of the Asian summer monsoon

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Science Bulletin 2006年第1期51卷 80-88页

作者： Lü Junmei1,2.4, ZHANG Qingyun1, TAO Shiyan1 & JU Jianhua3 1. State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for atmospheric Sci- ences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, Institute of atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of {2., Beijing 10002., china 2. Department of atmospheric {2., yunnan university, kunming 650091, china 3. china Meteorological Administration Training Centre, Beijing 100081, china 4. Graduate School of Chinese Academy of {2., Beijing 100039, china State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for atmospheric sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China Department of atmospheric sciences Yunnan University Kunming China Graduate School of Chinese Academy of sciences Beijing China china Meteorological Administration Training Centre Beijing China

Based on the daily outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) data from National Oceanic and At- mospheric Administration (NOAA) satellites, the Cli- mate Prediction Center’s merged analysis of pre- cipitation (CMAP) data and the National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for At- mospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR) reanalysis dataset, the mean intraseasonal variability of the Asian summer monsoon (ASM) is investigated by using power spectrum analysis, band-pass filter, and diagnostic analyses. The processes of the onset and advance of monsoon over the southern part of Indo- china Peninsula, the east coast of Bay of Bengal, the South china Sea and the Indian subcontinent are explored. It is found that there is an abrupt change in OLR, precipitation and zonal wind during the onset and advance of the ASM. It is also indicated that the southern part of Indo{2. Peninsula and the adja- cent Andaman Sea is the region where the earliest onset of the ASM occurs in the 2.d pentad of May.

关键词： Asian summer monsoon intraseasonal variability onset advance.

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Numerical simulation of Meiyu front and the diagnosis of moist vorticity vector

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Progress in Natural Science:Materials International 2007年第11期17卷 1341-1347页

作者： Ping Fan1,2.and Luo Zhexian2.1. Institute of atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of sciences, Beijing 10002.,{2. 2. Nanjing university of Information sciences & Technology, Nanjing 2.0044,{2.) Institute of atmospheric Physics Chinese Acad. of Sci. Beijing 100029 China Nanjing university of Information sciences and Technology Nanjing 210044 China

Moist vorticity vector is introduced to study the development and evolution of mesoscale convective vortex (MCV) in the Meiyu front precipitation with the Advanced Regional Predication System (ARPS). In this study, the heavy rainfall is simulated to investigate the genesis, development and dissipation of middle scale convective vortex, which occurred from 0000 UTC 3 July to 12.0 UTC 5 July over the Jianghuai River valley. Moist vorticity vector (MVV) has zonal, radial and vertical components in its 3D spatial distribution. The simulation shows that the vertical component of moist vorticity vector well demonstrates the spatial distribution characteristics of middle scale convective vortex, especially in the process of Meiyu front precipitation. Diagnosis upon zonal, radial averaged and mass-integrated quantities of MVV shows that its vertical component and the surface precipitating ratio are in phase with a correlation coefficient of 0.68, indicating that the vertical component of MVV is closely associated with the Meiyu front precipitation. In addition, the tendency of the vertical component of MVV is mainly determined by the interaction between the vorticity and the zonal and radial gradient of condensational or depositional heating.

关键词： moist vorticity vector mesoscale convective vortex Meiyu front precipitation

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Factors governing formation of todorokite at atmospheric pressure

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Science china Earth sciences 2005年第10期48卷 1678-1689页

作者： CUI Haojie1, FENG Xionghan1, LIU Fan1, TAN Wenfeng1 & HE Jizheng2.1. College of Resources and Environment, Huazhong Agricultural university, Wuhan 430070, china 2. Research Center for Eco-environmental {2., Chinese Academy of {2., Beijing 100085, china Huazhong Agricultural university Chinese Academy of sciences

Todorokite commonly occurs in Earth surface environments. The factors governing formation of todorokite, such as reaction temperature, metal ions, dissolved O2.and pH, were investigated in this paper. Results showed that the forming rate of todorokite and its crystallinity decreased with falling reaction temperature, and the effect of temperature was more significant than that of other parameters. Nature of metal ions in the interlayer of buserite precursor and the structure of the buserite precursor obviously affected buserite transformation into todorokite. Weak bonding between the metal ions and MnO6 layer of buserite was favorable to todorokite formation. The rate of todorokite formation was promoted at a lower temperature with appropriate bubbling of O2. The pH in the system slightly influenced the todorokite formation, and todorokite could also be formed in a weak alkali medium or in a slightly acidic medium. Aged buserite pre-cursor more easily form todorokite than the unaged one.

关键词： todorokite, buserite, manganese oxide mineral, atmospheric pressure, transformation.

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Influence of atmospheric heat sources over the Tibetan Plateau and the tropical western North Pacific on the inter-decadal variations of the stratosphere-troposphere exchange of water vapor

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Science china Earth sciences 2008年第8期51卷 1179-1193页

作者： ZHAN RuiFen1,2.LI JianPing2.1Shanghai Typhoon Institute of china Meteorological Administration,Shanghai 2.0030,china 2.tate Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for {2. sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics(LASG),Institute of {2. Physics,Chinese Academy of sciences,Beijing 10002.,china Shanghai Typhoon Institute of china Meteorological Administration Shanghai China State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for atmospheric sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG) Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China

This study investigates the Stratosphere-Troposphere Exchange(STE) of water vapor,emphasizes its interdecadal variations over Asia in boreal summer,and discusses the influences of atmospheric heat sources over the Tibetan Plateau and the tropical western North Pacific(WNP) on them by using the Wei method with reanalysis data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts(ECMWF) for the years of *** climatology shows that the upward transport of water vapor across the tropopause in boreal summer is the most robust over the joining area of the South Asian Peninsula and Indian-Pacific Oceans(defined as AIPO).The upward transport over there can persistently convey the abundant water vapor into the stratosphere and then influence the distribution and variation of the stratospheric water *** analysis shows that interdecadal variations of the water vapor exchange over the AIPO are significant,and its abrupt change occurred in the mid-1970s and the early *** these three periods,as important channels of the water vapor exchange,the effect of Bay of Bengal-East Asia as well as South china Sea was gradually weakening,while the role of the WNP becomes more and more *** studies show that atmospheric heat sources over the Tibetan Plateau and the WNP are two main factors in determining the interdecadal variations of water vapor *** thermal influences over the Tibetan Plateau and the WNP have been greatly adjusted over the pass 44 *** synthesis influences the interdecadal variations of the water vapor exchange by changing the Asian summer monsoon,but their roles vary with time and *** after 1992.the influence of heat source over the Tibetan Plateau remarkably weakens,while the heat source over the WNP dominates the across-tropopause water vapor *** have important implications for understanding the transport of other components in the atmosphere and estimating the impact of human activities(

关键词： Tibetan Plateau tropical western North Pacific atmospheric heat source STE inter-decadal variations

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