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中国产业链风险敞口的测度、结构及国际比较——基于生产链长度视角

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管理世界 2024年第4期40卷 1-26,46页

作者：倪红福钟道诚范子杰中国社会科学院大学应用经济学院中国社会科学院经济研究所中国人民大学应用经济学院湖南大学经济与贸易学院

保障产业链安全运行一直是中国式现代化进程中的关注重点,也是提升中国产业链、供应链现代化水平的关键。然而,跟踪产业链风险的测度指标相对缺乏,且存在概念混淆。鉴于此,本文基于全球价值链生产长度视角,并结合国家间双边关系、不可... 详细信息

保障产业链安全运行一直是中国式现代化进程中的关注重点,也是提升中国产业链、供应链现代化水平的关键。然而,跟踪产业链风险的测度指标相对缺乏,且存在概念混淆。鉴于此,本文基于全球价值链生产长度视角,并结合国家间双边关系、不可替代程度等因素,提出了全球产业链风险敞口、风险收益比新概念和新测度方法,并进行了实证测算。研究发现:(1)总体上,不同方法测算得到的中国整体产业链需求端和供给端风险敞口都呈现出先上升后下降趋势,但不考虑国家间双边关系、生产环节的不可替代性等因素,或使用传统GVC参与度方法都会低估中国产业链风险敞口。(2)不同行业和不同技术水平产业的风险敞口存在显著差异,从大到小依次为制造业、服务业、农业,高技术制造业近1/3的生产长度暴露在国外,产业链受到外部冲击而断裂的风险较大。(3)中国产业链需求端风险敞口处于中游水平,高于美国,但低于世界其他发达国家;中国在世界贸易中所面临的风险大于收益,而世界其他国家在中国的收益大于风险。(4)各国家部门产业链风险敞口总体上具有一定监测预警作用,即某一国家部门风险敞口越大,在不利冲击下(如疫情)其贸易量下降的幅度可能就越大。

关键词：全球产业链风险敞口脆弱性产业链韧性生产长度

大国竞争背景下新质生产力形成的理论逻辑与实现路径

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重庆大学学报（社会科学版） 2024年第1期30卷 145-155页

作者：柳学信曹成梓孔晓旭首都经济贸易大学北京100070

新质生产力是习近平总书记基于大国竞争背景下我国发展阶段、发展环境、发展条件变化,作出的具有根本性、全局性、长远性的重大战略判断。在新一代信息技术加速突破应用、先进制造技术加速产业转型的新发展阶段,形成新质生产力既是构建... 详细信息

新质生产力是习近平总书记基于大国竞争背景下我国发展阶段、发展环境、发展条件变化,作出的具有根本性、全局性、长远性的重大战略判断。在新一代信息技术加速突破应用、先进制造技术加速产业转型的新发展阶段,形成新质生产力既是构建新发展格局、推动高质量发展的必然要求,也是我国建设现代化经济体系的关键动能,关系我国在未来发展和国际竞争中赢得战略主动。新质生产力的内涵是以引领国际经济体系变革、重塑现代化产业体系、提升企业核心竞争力为目的,从传统生产力向新质生产力的演化升级应该包含国际竞争、国家优势和企业发展三个层面整个生产范式的转变。文章以马克思主义政治经济学、习近平经济思想、习近平生态文明思想为理论支撑,提出“新质生产力”的理论构建包括三个维度:一是微观载体——打造世界一流企业;二是中观治理——提升国际竞争优势;三是宏观发展——构建人类命运共同体。文章将新质生产力形成的理论逻辑和实践路径融入中国当前的发展战略中,从转变企业发展范式、重塑现代化产业体系和建设新的全球治理体系三个方面提出形成新质生产力的改革路径,三条路径相辅相成、协同发力,共同为新质生产力的形成注入活力,使得生产力发展更好地服务于中国高质量发展的战略定位。

关键词：新质生产力大国竞争背景高质量发展现代化产业体系中国式现代化

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What’s next toward the bio-design and manufacturing field?Academic and humanistic interactions echo each other in BDMC2023

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Bio-Design and manufacturing 2023年第6期6卷 735-741页

作者： Liang Ma Huayong Yang State Key Laboratory of Fluid Power and Mechatronic Systems Zhejiang UniversityHangzhou 310058China School of Mechanical Engineering Zhejiang UniversityHangzhou 310058China The Editorial Office of Bio-Design and manufacturing Zhejiang UniversityHangzhou 310058China

This report provides a highlight of the third international Conference on Biomaterials,Bio-Design and manufacturing(BDMC2023).BDMC2023,based on the journal of Bio-Design and manufacturing(BDM)founded by Zhejiang Unive... 详细信息

关键词： journal BDM Singapore

气候变化影响下的文化遗产全球行动——文化、遗产与气候变化国际共同倡议会议综述

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中国文化遗产 2024年第2期120卷 106-113页

作者：刘弘涛邱皓付梓杰西南交通大学建筑学院四川成都611756 中国古迹遗址保护协会北京100029

气候变化已成为全球文化遗产保护领域关注的重要议题。“文化、遗产与气候变化国际共同倡议研讨会”讨论了气候变化背景下全球自然、文化遗产与非物质文化遗产的保护行动经验。本文综合会议议程及形成的三份白皮书,从会议关注的三个关... 详细信息

气候变化已成为全球文化遗产保护领域关注的重要议题。“文化、遗产与气候变化国际共同倡议研讨会”讨论了气候变化背景下全球自然、文化遗产与非物质文化遗产的保护行动经验。本文综合会议议程及形成的三份白皮书,从会议关注的三个关键方面阐述:其一,文化遗产与气候变化的系统联系。不同主体在气候行动中开展保护文化遗产的实践,形成多元的知识系统,在气候应对行动中发挥着不同的作用。文化遗产作为连接不同政府间的桥梁,需通过共同的努力应对全球气候变化的影响。其二,气候变化对文化遗产的影响。国际组织和政府的相关机构已经开展了对气候变化影响下文化遗产的监测工作,通过系统地收集与保护相关的信息进而开展评估和预测气候变化带来的影响程度,同时影响评估也将逐渐量化。其三,文化遗产保护在应对气候变化时主要体现在适应和缓解两方面。本文基于对上述综述的分析和研究,提出我国文化遗产应对气候行动建议,旨在完善全球气候变化背景下我国文化遗产可持续性保护方法和体系。

关键词：气候变化文化遗产行动议程气候适应气候缓解

international ECONOMIC REVIEW

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国际经济评论 2012年第4期 4-8页

Cretaceous Oceanic Red Beds （CORB）, response to paleoclimatic/paleoceanographic global changes and regional tectonics Workshop of IGCP 463 ＆ 494

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Episodes 2006年第1期29卷 49-51页

作者： Robert W. Scott Chengshan Wang Xiumian Hu Tulsa University Cleveland Oklahoma 74020 USA china University of Geosciences Beijing 100083 Beijing CHINA Nanjing University210093 Nanjing china

Members of IGCP 463, Cretaceous Oceanic Red Beds （CORBs）, held their fourth workshop in Switzerland, and members of IGCP Project 494, Dysoxic to oxic change in midCretaceous Tethyan oceanic sedimentation, held their third workshop. The joint workshops consisted of a day and a half of presentations of current scientific results and a halfday planning the next year＇s work flow. Afterwards many participants joined the oneday field trip ＂Aptian, Albian, and Cenomanian sedimentation in the Swiss Prealps＂ led by Michel Caron, Luc Braillard, Andre Strasser, and Corinne Saudan, which preceded the 7th international symposium on the Cretaceous, 5-9 September, 2005. Projects 463 ＆ 494 also sponsored oral and poster sessions at the symposium entitled, ＂Cretaceous Oceanic Red Beds＂.

关键词：区域构造学全球变化海洋层白垩纪

Study on a soil erosion sampling survey in the Pan-third Pole region based on higher-resolution images

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international Soil and Water Conservation Research 2020年第4期8卷 440-451页

作者： Qinke Yang Mengyang Zhu Chunmei Wang Xiaoping Zhang Baoyuan Liu Xin Wei Guowei Pang Chaozhen Du Lihua Yang College of Urban and Environment Northwest University XianShaanxi710126China Institute of Soil and Water Conservation Chinese Academic Sciences and Ministry of Water ResourcesYanglingShaanxi712100China College of Geography Beijing Normal UniversityBeijing100875China

Soil erosion is one of the most severe global environmental problems,and soil erosion surveys are the scientific basis for planning soil conservation and ecological *** improve soil erosion sampling survey methods and accurately and rapidly estimate the actual rates of soil erosion,a Pan-third Pole region was taken as an example to study a methodology of soil erosion sampling survey based on high-spatial-resolution remote sensing *** sampling units were designed using a stratified variable probability systematic sampling *** spatiotemporal characteristics of soil erosion and conservation were taken into account,and finer-resolution freely available and accessible images in Google Earth were *** the visual interpretation of the free high-resolution remote sensing images,detailed information on land use and soil conservation measures was ***,combined with the regional soil erosion factor data products,such as rainfall-runoff erosivity factor(R),soil erodibility factor(K),and slope length and steepness factor(LS),the soil loss rates of some sampling units were *** results show that,based on these high-resolution remote sensing images,the land use and soil conservation measures of the sampling units can be quickly and accurately *** interpretation accuracy in 4 typical cross sections was more than 80%,and sampling accuracy,described by histogram similarity in 11 large sampling sites,show that the landuse of sampling uints can represent the structural characteristics of regional land *** on the interpretation of data from the sample survey and the regional soil erosion factor data products,the calculation of the soil erosion rate can be completed *** calculation results can reflect the actual conditions of soil erosion better than the potential soil erosion rates calculated by using the coarse-resolution remote sensing method.

关键词： Pan-third pole area Land use Soil conservation measures Remote sensing Variable probability sampling

What's So Special about china's Producer Services?An Input–output Analysis

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china & World Economy 2014年第1期22卷 103-120页

作者： Dazhong Cheng Peter W.Daniels Department of World Economy Institute for World Economyand Global Investment and Trade InstituteFudan University University of Birmingham

In the present study, five stylized facts about china ＂s producer services are established through international, intersectoral and intertemporal comparisons based on input --output tables. First, the overall service input ratio is the lowest in all the sample economies. Second, most producer services are supplied by the traditional labor-intensive sectors. third, manufacturing is the biggest user of producer services, and service industry is the second, while the opposite is true for most of the other sample economies. Fourth, unlike other economies, china ＂s ＂R＆D＂ is characterized more by consumer services than producer services. Fifth, china has fairly lower service input ratios in almost all the industries. The backward and forward linkages coefficients are both smaller for ＂real estate activities＂ and ＂finance and insurance. ＂＂ Policy reform should focus not only on specific producer services but also on reducing obstacles that are inhibiting the balanced development of diverse producer services that will help china to optimize its economic structure.

关键词： Chinese economy input-output analysis producer services

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