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A Look-Ahead Method for Forecasting the Concrete Price

A Look-Ahead Method for Forecasting the Concrete Price

作     者:Qing Liu Minghao Huang Woon-Seek Lee 

作者单位:School of Economics and ManagementHuainan Normal University Graduate School of Management of TechnologyPukyong National University 

会议日期:2022年

学科分类:0202[经济学-应用经济学] 02[经济学] 020205[经济学-产业经济学] 07[理学] 070104[理学-应用数学] 0701[理学-数学] 

关 键 词:Price Forecasting Concrete Deep Learning Autoregression 

摘      要:Price movement of building materials increases the uncertainty of architectural *** a basic building material,commercial concrete is an important part of various construction *** is of great significance to predict its price change trend in *** this paper,a univariate autoregressive series is constructed based on the daily average price of concrete in major cities in China;then it uses a combined model of Convolutional Neural Network(CNN) and Long Short-Term Memory Network(LSTM) to extract the spatial and temporal rules of time series,to achieve accurate prediction of the trend of concrete price changes 10 days *** prediction accuracy rate of the model is 97.13%,and the precision,recall rate,and F1 score are:97.15%,97.27%,and 97.20%,*** prediction result is of great significance to various architectural planning.

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