Prediction of Earthquake in Yunnan Region Based on the AHC over Sampling

作     者：Kai Tan,Xiushan Cai College of Mathematics,Physics and Information Engineering,Zhejiang Normal University,Jinhua,321004,China 

会议名称：《2010 Chinese Control and Decision Conference》

会议日期：2010年

学科分类：070801[理学-固体地球物理学] 07[理学] 0708[理学-地球物理学] 

基　　金：supported by Zhejiang Nature Science Foundation under Grant Y105141 

关 键 词：Earthquake prediction Biased support vector machines Over sampling Seismicity indicators 

摘      要：The data of earthquake of magnitude 3.5 or greater that happened during the 1970 and 2008 in Yunnan region (22 degrees and 28 degrees north,98 degrees and 104 degrees east) were compiled and analyzed in this *** calculating the seismicity indicators and constructing the initial data set,AHC over sampling method was used on the imbalanced *** small earthquakes and large ones during the 1999 and 2008 were predicted and verified with the support vector machines(SVM) which contains different error *** result performs well,and it provides a new way for the earthquake prediction.