基于经济增长的新疆能源消费趋势及影响因素研究

作     者：郑学进 

作者单位：新疆财经大学 

学位级别：硕士

导师姓名：李新英

授予年度：2015年

学科分类：0202[经济学-应用经济学] 02[经济学] 020205[经济学-产业经济学] 

主      题：Energy consumption Combination forecasting Economic growth Influence factors Xinjiang 

摘      要：Since the reform and open policy, Xinjiang s economic development speed, energy source as the driving force of economic development,the demand is also increased significantly, which led to the total energy consumption of Xinjiang increasing. For a long time xinjiang s economic growth is extensive, high input and low output growth pattern,which not only resulted in the waste of energy and resources, and result in the pollution of the environment, brought huge environmental problems. The sustained and stable development of energy, is of great significance to economic growth. To ensure the sustained and stable development of energy, rational energy development strategy, there must be reasonable expectation of Xinjiang energy consumption trend, grasp the trend of energy consumption of Xinjiang, find the influence factors of energy consumption in *** paper is based on the qualitative analysis and the quantitative analysis,by analysis the energy consumption and economic growth of Xinjiang, the forecast of energy consumption trend in Xinjiang by using the method of combination, and the influence factors of energy consumption in Xinjiang by multiple regression analysis, finally, according to the status of Xinjiang energy and economic development, put forward the policy recommendations of Xinjiang s energy *** is a close relationship between energy consumption and economic growth,through the research on the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in Xinjiang, a one-way causal relationship was found between energy consumption and economic growth, the economic growth of Xinjiang is the causes of energy consumption increase. Under the background of economic growth, the prediction of the energy consumption trends in Xinjiang by combination,found that Xinjiang future energy consumption will be about 11% of the annual growth rate of development. Xinjiang energy consumption increase, bring great challenges to Xinjiang s energy supply, in