Assessment of the potential storm tide inundation hazard under climate change:case studies of Southeast China coast

作     者：Bingchuan Nie Qingyong Wuxi Jiachun Li Feng Xu Bingchuan Nie;Qingyong Wuxi;Jiachun Li;Feng Xu

作者机构：School of Civil EngineeringBeijing Jiaotong UniversityBeijing100044China Beijing’s Key Laboratory of Structural Wind Engineering and Urban Wind EnvironmentBeijing100044China Key Laboratory for Mechanics in Fluid Solid Coupling SystemsInstitute of MechanicsChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing100190China School of Engineering ScienceUniversity of Chinese Academy of SciencesBeijing100049China 

出 版 物：《Acta Mechanica Sinica》 (力学学报（英文版）)

年 卷 期：2021年第37卷第1期

页      面：53-64,I0002页

核心收录：

学科分类：08[工学] 080101[工学-一般力学与力学基础] 0801[工学-力学（可授工学、理学学位）] 

基　　金：supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant 11902024) the National Key R&D Program of China(Grant 2017YFC1404202) the Strategic Priority Research Programs(Category B)of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(Grant XDB22040203) 

主　　题：Storm surge Inundation Risk assessment Tropical cyclone intensification Sea level rise 

摘      要：Four typical cases of storm tide inundation at one of the typical storm surge prone areas in China and worldwide,*** China coast,are presented to demostrate the impact of climate *** is relied on the statistical trend analysis of tropical cyclone intensification(TCI)and sea level rise(SLR)considering temporally non-stationary and spatially non-uniform effects,numerical analysis taking into account the tide-surge-wave coupling effect and GIS-based analysis for inundation *** results show that the high sea surface elevation tends to occur in the bays and around the *** maximal sea surface elevations of the worst situation at present without considering TCI and SLR(*** S2)are 6.06 m,5.82 m and 5.67 m around Aojiang,Feiyunjiang and Oujiang river estuaries,***,the maximal sea surface elevations for the three estuaries would increase to 7.02 m,6.67 m and 6.44 m,respectively,when the non-stationary extreme wind speed of 100-year recurrence period and SLR equivalent to the situation of 2100s(*** S4)are taking into *** potential inundation area of scenario S4 would expand by 108%to about 798 km^(2) compared with scenario *** addition,the remotely sensed maps and inundation durations of the hardest hit regions are provided,which will aid the prevention and mitigation of storm tide inundation hazard and future coastal management there.