Exploring the driving factors and their mitigation potential in global energy-related CO2 emission

作     者：Zhiyuan Ma Shining Zhang Fangxin Hou Xin Tan Fengying Zhang Fang Yang Fei Guo Zhiyuan Ma;Shining Zhang;Fangxin Hou;Xin Tan;Fengying Zhang;Fang Yang;Fei Guo

作者机构：Global Energy Interconnection Development and Cooperation OrganizationNo.8 Xuanwumennei StreetBeijing 100031P.R.China Global Energy Interconnection Group Co.Ltd.No.8 Xuanwumennei StreetBeijing 100031P.R.China International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis(IIASA)Schlossplatz 1-A2361 LaxenburgAustria 

出 版 物：《Global Energy Interconnection》 (全球能源互联网（英文版）)

年 卷 期：2020年第3卷第5期

页      面：413-422页

核心收录：

学科分类：12[管理学] 1204[管理学-公共管理] 080702[工学-热能工程] 08[工学] 0807[工学-动力工程及工程热物理] 

基　　金：This work was supported by the Science and Technology Foundation of GEIGC(101662227) National Key Research and Development Program of China(2018 YFB0905000) 

主　　题：CO2 emission Kaya identity Clean energy development Electrification Global Energy Interconnection Mitigation potential 

摘      要：In order to quantify the contribution of the mitigation strategies,an extended Kaya identity has been proposed in this paper for decomposing the various factors that influence the CO2 *** this end,we provided a detailed decomposition of the carbon intensity and energy intensity,which enables the quantification of clean energy development and *** logarithmic mean divisia index(LMDI)has been applied to the historical data to quantify the contributions of the various factors affecting the CO2 ***,the global energy interconnection(GEI)scenario has been introduced for providing a systematic solution to meet the 2℃goal of the Paris *** combining LMDI with the scenario analysis,the mitigation potential of the various factors for CO2 emission has been *** from the historical data indicate that economic development and population growth contribute the most to the increase in CO2 emissions,whereas improvement in the power generation efficiency predominantly helps in emission reduction.A numerical analysis,performed for obtaining the projected future carbon emissions,suggests that clean energy development and electrification are the top two factors that can decrease CO2 emissions,thus showing their great potential for mitigation in the ***,the carbon capture and storage technology serves as an important supplementary mitigation method.