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Effect of climate change on spatial distribution of scorpions of significant public health importance in Iran

作     者:Javad Rafinejad Mehran Shahi Shahrokh Navidpour Elham Jahanifard Ahmad Ali Hanafi-Bojd Javad Rafinejad;Mehran Shahi;Shahrokh Navidpour;Elham Jahanifard;Ahmad Ali Hanafi-Bojd

作者机构:Department of Medical Entomology&Vector ControlSchool of Public HealthTehran University of Medical SciencesTehranIran Department of Medical Entomology&Vector ControlSchool of Public HealthHormozgan University of Medical SciencesBandar AbbasIran Infectious&Tropical Diseases Research CenterHormozgan Health InstituteHormozgan University of Medical SciencesBandar AbbasIran Razi Reference Laboratory of Scorpion ResearchRazi Vaccine and Serum Research InstituteAgricultural Research Education and Extension Organization(AREEO)KarajIran Department of Medical Entomology and Vector ControlSchool of Public HealthAhvaz Jundishapur University of Medical SciencesAhvazIran 

出 版 物:《Asian Pacific Journal of Tropical Medicine》 (亚太热带医药杂志(英文版))

年 卷 期:2020年第13卷第11期

页      面:503-514页

核心收录:

学科分类:1002[医学-临床医学] 1001[医学-基础医学(可授医学、理学学位)] 100103[医学-病原生物学] 10[医学] 

基  金:financially supported by the Deputy of research Tehran University of Medical sciences(No.33493) 

主  题:Scorpion Niche modeling Climate change Iran 

摘      要:Objective:To establish a spatial geo-database for scorpions in Iran,and to identify the suitable ecological niches for the most dangerous scorpion species under different climate change ***:The spatial distribution of six poisonous scorpion species of Iran were modeled:Hemiscorpius lepturus,Androctonus crassicauda,Mesobuthus eupeus,Hottentotta saulcyi,Hottentotta zagrosensis,and Odontobuthus(O.)doriae,under RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 climate change *** Max Ent ecological niche model was used to predict climate suitability for these scorpion species in the 2030 s and 2050 s,and the data were compared with environmental suitability under the current bioclimatic ***:A total of 73 species and subspecies of scorpions belonging to 19 genera in Iran were *** Province has the highest species diversity with 34 species and *** most poisonous scorpion species of Iran are scattered in the semi-arid climates,at an altitudinal range between 11 m and 2954 m above sea *** is projected that ***,Androctonus crassicauda and Mesobuthus eupeus species would be widely distributed in most parts of the country,whereas the most suitable ecological niches for the other species would be limited to the west and/or southwestern part of ***:Although the environmental suitability for all the species would change under the two climate change scenarios,the change would be more significant for *** under RCP8.5 in the 2050 *** findings can be used as basis for future studies in the areas with the highest environmental suitability for the most dangerous scorpion species to fill the gaps in the ecology of scorpion species in these areas.

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