Characteristics Analysis and Implications on the COVID-19 Reopening of Victoria, Australia

作     者：Lei Zhang Yusha Tao Guihua Zhuang Christopher K.Fairley 

作者机构：China-Australia Joint Research Center for Infectious DiseasesSchool of Public HealthXi’an Jiaotong University Health Science CenterXi’anShaanxi 710061PR China Melbourne Sexual Health CentreAlfred HealthMelbourneAustralia Central Clinical SchoolFaculty of MedicineNursing and Health SciencesMonash UniversityMelbourneVICAustralia Department of Epidemiology and BiostatisticsCollege of Public HealthZhengzhou UniversityZhengzhou450001 HenanChina 

出 版 物：《The Innovation》 (创新（英文）)

年 卷 期：2020年第1卷第3期

页      面：20-21页

核心收录：

学科分类：0202[经济学-应用经济学] 02[经济学] 020205[经济学-产业经济学] 

基　　金：supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(grant number:81950410639) Outstanding Young Scholars Support Program(grant number:3111500001) Xi’an Jiaotong University Basic Research and Profession Grant(grant number:xtr022019003,xzy032020032) Epidemiology modeling and risk assessment(grant number:20200344) Xi’an Jiaotong University Young Scholar Support Grant(grant number:YX6J004) 

主　　题：Victoria return Figure 

摘      要：By 24 September 2020,the SARS-COV-2 epidemic had led to a total of 26,983 infections and 861 deaths in Australia,resulting in a significant disease burden on its health care system and disruption to its *** State of Victoria is the most severely affected Australian state and accounts for 74.5%of all infections and 89.7%deaths in *** the epidemic in Victoria is critical to the impact of the national *** response to the first outbreak of the epidemic,Victoria declared a state of emergency on 16 March and implemented stage 2 restrictions from 25 March to 25May(first lockdown)with restrictions on major events,traveling,and social contacts(Figure 1A).In contrast,much stricter stage 3 and subsequent stage 4(second lockdown)restrictions were implemented inmetropolitan Melbourne and regional Victoria between the 9 July and 13 September in response to a substantially larger second outbreak since late *** restriction measures have been effective,and the epidemic has seen a major decline from 500 to 700 cases/day in early August to 30–50 cases/day in early *** preparation for reopening the economy,the Victorian government declared a COVID-19 roadmap for reopening on 9 September.1 In brief,the reopening plan for metro Melbourne requires the city to maintain a consistently declining trend of the epidemic,with the ease of restrictions in proportion to the number of the daily confirmed *** restrictions are less stringent for regional *** plan envisions complete elimination of the virus for 28 days state-wide before Victoria is allowed to return to a“COVID normalscenario.