Science and Prediction of Heavy Rainfall over China:Research Progress since the Reform and Opening-Up of New China

作     者：Yali LUO Jisong SUN Ying LI Rudi XIA Yu DU Shuai YANG Yuanchun ZHANG Jing CHEN Kan DAI Xueshun SHEN Haoming CHEN Feifan ZHOU Yimin LIU Shenming FU Mengwen WU Tiangui XIAO Yangruixue CHEN Huiqi LI Mingxin LI Yali LUO;Jisong SUN;Ying LI;Rudi XIA;Yu DU;Shuai YANG;Yuanchun ZHANG;Jing CHEN;Kan DAI;Xueshun SHEN;Haoming CHEN;Feifan ZHOU;Yimin LIU;Shenming FU;Mengwen WU;Tiangui XIAO;Yangruixue CHEN;Huiqi LI;Mingxin LI

作者机构：State Key Laboratory of Severe WeatherChinese Academy of Meteorological SciencesChina Meteorological AdministrationBeijing 100081 Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological DisastersNanjing University of Information Science&TechnologyNanjing 210044 School of Atmospheric Sciencesand Guangdong Province Key Laboratory for Climate Change and Natural Disaster StudiesSun Yat-sen UniversityGuangzhou 519082 Key Laboratory of Cloud–Precipitation Physics and Severe StormsInstitute of Atmospheric PhysicsChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100029 National Meteorological CenterChina Meteorological AdministrationBeijing 100081 State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid DynamicsInstitute of Atmospheric PhysicsChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100029 Zhejiang Institute of Meteorological SciencesZhejiang Meteorological BureauHangzhou 310008 School of Atmospheric SciencesChengdu University of Information TechnologyChengdu 610225 Institute of Heavy RainChina Meteorological AdministrationWuhan 43020510 Institute of Tropical and Marine MeteorologyChina Meteorological AdministrationGuangzhou 510640 Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory(Zhuhai)Zhuhai 519082 University of Chinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100049 CAS Center for Excellence in Tibetan Plateau Earth SciencesChinese Academy of Sciences(CAS)Beijing 100101 

出 版 物：《Journal of Meteorological Research》 (气象学报（英文版）)

年 卷 期：2020年第34卷第3期

页      面：427-459页

核心收录：

学科分类：07[理学] 070601[理学-气象学] 0706[理学-大气科学] 

基　　金：Supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2018YFC1507400) National Natural Science Foundation of China(41775050) 

主　　题：heavy rainfall reform and opening-up of new China physical mechanisms forecasting techniques 

摘      要：This paper reviews the major progress on development of the science and prediction of heavy rainfall over China since the beginning of the reform and opening-up of new China(roughly between 1980 and 2019).The progress of research on the physical mechanisms of heavy rainfall over China is summarized from three perspectives:1)the relevant synoptic weather systems,2)heavy rainfall in major sub-regions of China,and 3)heavy rainfall induced by *** development and application of forecasting techniques for heavy rainfall are summarized in terms of numerical weather prediction techniques and objective forecasting *** aided by the rapid progress in meteorological observing technology and substantial improvement in electronic computing,studies of heavy rainfall in China have advanced to investigating the evolution of heavy-rain-producing storms and observational analysis of the cloud microphysical features.A deeper and more systematic understanding of the synoptic systems of importance to the production of heavy rainfall has also been *** forecast of heavy rainfall in China has changed from subjective weather event forecasts to a combination of both subjective and objective quantitative precipitation forecasts,and is now advancing toward probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasts with the provision of forecast uncertainty information.