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Effectiveness of Structural and Nonstructural Measures on the Magnitude and Uncertainty of Future Flood Risks

Effectiveness of Structural and Nonstructural Measures on the Magnitude and Uncertainty of Future Flood Risks

作     者:N. Fajar Januriyadi So Kazama Idham R. Moe Shuichi Kure 

作者机构:Department of Civil Engineering Pertamina University Jakarta Indonesia Department of Civil Engineering Tohoku University Sendai Japan Ministry of Public Works and Housing Jakarta Indonesia Department of Environment and Civil Engineering Toyama Prefectural University Imizu Japan 

出 版 物:《Journal of Water Resource and Protection》 (水资源与保护(英文))

年 卷 期:2020年第12卷第5期

页      面:401-415页

学科分类:08[工学] 0815[工学-水利工程] 

主  题:Jakarta Adaption Measures Uncertainty Land Use Change Land Subsidence Climate Change 

摘      要:The purpose of this research is to assess the effectiveness of various adaptation measures in reducing the magnitude and uncertainty of future flood risks in Jakarta, a megacity in Indonesia. A flood inundation model and a flood damage costs model were developed to evaluate their effectiveness. Land use changes, land subsidence, and climate change were used to describe the future scenarios. The adaptation measures include both structural and nonstructural measures. The results show that recharge and retention ponds have the potential to reduce the magnitude and uncertainty of flood risks by 33.2% and 36.4%, respectively, which are higher than the potentials of the other structural adaptation measures. Among the nonstructural adaptation measures, managing land use zones could alleviate the magnitude of flood risks by 29.0%, with an uncertainty reduction of 19.9%. These findings will assist decision makers in selecting flood adaptation measures to address future environmental changes.

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