Risk assessment on the epidemics of human infection with a novel avian influenza A (H7N9) virus in Jiangsu Province, China

作     者：Wendong Liu Yefei Zhu Xian Qi Ke Xu Aihua Ge Hong Ji Jing Ai Changjun Bao Fenyang Tang Minghao Zhou 

作者机构：Department of Acute Infectious Disease Control and Prevention Jiangsu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention 

出 版 物：《The Journal of Biomedical Research》 (生物医学研究杂志（英文版）)

年 卷 期：2013年第27卷第3期

页      面：163-166页

学科分类：0710[理学-生物学] 1004[医学-公共卫生与预防医学(可授医学、理学学位)] 100401[医学-流行病与卫生统计学] 10[医学] 

基　　金：supported by the Jiangsu Province Health Development Project with Science and Education (No.ZX201109 and RC2011085) the Research Projects of Jiangsu Preventive Medicine (No.YZ201020) 

主　　题：avian influenza H7N9 risk assessment 

摘      要：A novel avian influenza A （H7N9） virus was discovered in February 2013 in China and has resulted in more than 100 comfirmed human infections including 26 fatal cases as of May 2, 2013. The situation raises many ur- gent questions and global public health concerns. In this study, epidemiologic characteristics of infected human cases in Jiangsu province were analyzed and risk assessment was undertaken based on the information available. Briefly, it is highly unlikely that a pandemic of human infection with avian influenza A （HTN9） virus will happen in Jiangsu Province in the near future. Iia the end, some measures are recommended to prevent the situation from becoming worse.