Demographics, societal aging, and meat consumption in China

作     者：MIN Shi BAI Jun-fei James Seale Jr. Thomas Wahl 

作者机构：Institute of Development and Agricultural Economics Leibniz University Hannover College of Economics and Management China Agricultural University Department of Food and Resource Economics University of Florida Department of Agribusiness and Applied Economics North Dakota State University 

出 版 物：《Journal of Integrative Agriculture》 (农业科学学报（英文版）)

年 卷 期：2015年第14卷第6期

页      面：995-1007页

核心收录：

学科分类：12[管理学] 0710[理学-生物学] 0832[工学-食品科学与工程（可授工学、农学学位）] 120301[管理学-农业经济管理] 0830[工学-环境科学与工程（可授工学、理学、农学学位）] 1203[管理学-农林经济管理] 1004[医学-公共卫生与预防医学(可授医学、理学学位)] 0905[农学-畜牧学] 0906[农学-兽医学] 0901[农学-作物学] 0703[理学-化学] 0902[农学-园艺学] 0713[理学-生态学] 

基　　金：financial support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China(71273009) pUSDA,Economic Research Service,Cooperative Agreement(58-3000-7-0060) USDA,the Agricultural Food Research Initiative of the National Institute of Food and Agriculture(2010-65400-20489) USDA,Foreign Agricultural Service,th Emerging Markets Program Grant(2010-72) Chinese Universities Scientific Fund(2014RC017) 

主　　题：capita household consumed income demographic jointly likely surveying estimates proportion 

摘      要：Drawn on the data collected by surveying 1 340 urban households from six cities in China, this paper estimates the impacts of demographic structure and population aging on household meat consumption, by jointly considering meat consumed at home and away from home. Based on the trajectories of population, a simple simulation on meat demand trend in China is conducted subsequently. The results suggest： 1） Meat consumed away from home averagely accounts for near 30% of household total meat consumption in terms of quantity, so that its omission likely leads to a significant underestimate of total meat consumption and misunderstanding the driving forces; 2） population aging significantly and negatively affects per capita meat consumption, suggesting that the expected meat demand in China without considering population aging will be overestimated. The findings from this study have important implications for better understanding the relative issues on China＇s meat consumption under the situation of population aging.