Decomposition of energy-related carbon emissions in Xinjiang and relative mitigation policy recommendations

作     者：Changjian WANG Xiaolei ZHANG Fei WANG Jun LEI Li ZHANG 

作者机构：State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography Chinese Academy of Sciences Urumqi 830011 China University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100049 China Fujian Urban & Rural Planning Design Institute Fuzhou 350003 China 

出 版 物：《Frontiers of Earth Science》 (地球科学前沿（英文版）)

年 卷 期：2015年第9卷第1期

页      面：65-76页

核心收录：

学科分类：080702[工学-热能工程] 07[理学] 08[工学] 070602[理学-大气物理学与大气环境] 0807[工学-动力工程及工程热物理] 0706[理学-大气科学] 

基　　金：supported by the Western Action Plan Project of the Chinese Academy of Sciences 

主　　题：carbon emissions Xinjiang index decomposition analysis mitigation policy recommendations 

摘      要：Regional carbon emissions research is necessary and helpful for China in realizing reduction targets. The LMDI I （Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index I） technique based on an extended Kaya identity was conducted to uncover the main five driving forces for energy-related carbon emissions in Xinjiang, an important energy base in China. Decomposition results show that the affluence effect and the population effect are the two most important contributors to increased carbon emissions. The energy intensity effect had a positive influence on carbon emissions during the pre-reform period, and then became the dominant factor in curbing carbon emissions after 1978. The renewable energy penetration effect and the emission coefficient effect showed important negative but relatively minor effects on carbon emissions. Based on the local realities, a comprehensive suite of mitigation policies are raised by considering all of these influencing factors. Mitigation policies will need to significantly reduce energy intensity and pay more attention to the regional economic development path. Fossil fuel substitution should be considered seriously. Renewable energy should be increased in the energy mix. All of these policy recommendations, if implemented by the central and local government, should make great contributions to energy saving and emission reduction in Xinjiang.