A study on population dynamics in“Belt&Road”countries and their implications

作     者：Mengni Chen Paul S.F.Yip 

作者机构：Department of Social Work and Social AdministrationThe University of Hong KongPokfulamHong Kong Wittgenstein Centre(IIASAVID/ÖAWWU)Vienna University of Economics and Business(WU)Welthandelsplatz2Level 21020 ViennaAustria 

出 版 物：《China Population and Development Studies》 (当代中国人口与发展（英文）)

年 卷 期：2018年第2卷第2期

页      面：158-172页

学科分类：08[工学] 0812[工学-计算机科学与技术（可授工学、理学学位）] 

基　　金：supported by the strategic public policy research grant from University of Hong Kong(HKU-SPPR-12) the Central Policy Unit of the Hong Kong SAR Government for Yip,and the Austria Science Fund(FWF):Z171-G11 from Vienna University of Economics and Business for Chen 

主　　题：Belt and road initiative Population dynamics Demographic heterogeneity Economic development Well-being 

摘      要：China’s Belt&Road(“B&R)initiative has attracted much attention in recent *** studies have assessed the potential impacts of this initiative from the economic,political,foreign relations,and military ***,very little attention has been paid to examine the opportunities and challenges of this new initiative from a demographic ***,this study investigates into the population dynamics of 65 countries in the B&R region,and explores the demographic dynamics of this regional cooperation *** on graphic visualization,the demographic heterogeneities within the B&R region,in terms of current stages of demographic transitions,population age structure,and demographic windows of opportunities have been ***,a model-based cluster analysis has been conducted to classify the B&R countries into two *** group consists of countries with younger population,low education access,and larger gender gap in the labor market,while the other group comprises of more aged population and has better performances in economic development,education enrolment,and female labor *** demographic windows of opportunities in the former group will remain open for the coming decades;whereas the windows have already closed or is about to close very soon in the latter *** former group should take lessons from the latter concerning how to better prepare themselves for the demographic ***,the curvilinear relationship between wealth and well-being has a complicated structure and the B&R initiative should focus not only on economic development but also on the human well-being.