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Modeling Arctic Ocean heat transport and warming episodes in the 20th century caused by the intruding Atlantic Water

Modeling Arctic Ocean heat transport and warming episodes in the 20th century caused by the intruding Atlantic Water

作     者:Wang Jia Jin Meibing Jun Takahashi Tatsuo Suzuki Igor V Polyakov Kohei Mizobata Moto Ikeda Fancois J. Saucier Markus Meier 

作者机构:NOAA Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory 4840 S State Road Ann Arbor Michigan 48108 USA International Arctic Research Center University of Alaska Fairbanks 930 Koyukuk Dr. Fairbanks AK 99775USA Frontier Research Center for Global Change 3173-25 Showamachi Kanazawa-ku Yokohama City Kanagawa236-0001 Japan Department of Ocean Science Tokyo University of Marine Science and Technology Tokyo Japan Graduate School of Earth and Environmental Science Hokkaido University Sapporo Hokkaido Japan Institute of Ocean Science University of Quebec at Rimouski 310 Ursulines Street Rimouski G5L 3A1 Canada Rossby Centre Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute Sweden 

出 版 物:《Chinese Journal of Polar Science》 (极地研究(英文版))

年 卷 期:2008年第19卷第2期

页      面:159-167页

学科分类:07[理学] 070601[理学-气象学] 0706[理学-大气科学] 

基  金:supported by the Frontier Research Center for Global Change and International Arctic Research Center,through JAMSTEC,Japan The climate model was run on the Earth Simulator of JAMSTEC,Yokohama,Japan Constructive discussions with Drs.T.Matsuno,T.Tokioka and N.Suginohara of FRCGC/JAMSTEC andDr.A.Sumi of CCSR/UT are very much appreciated JW also thanks NOAA Office of Arctic Research for partial support.This is GLERL Contribution No.1496 

主  题:Arctic Ocean heat transport warming episodes modeling. 

摘      要:This study investigates the Arctic Ocean warming episodes in the 20th century using both a high-resolution coupled global climate model and historical observations. The model, with no flux adjustment, reproduces well the Atlantic Water core temperature (AWCT) in the Arctic Ocean and shows that four largest decadalscale warming episodes occurred in the 1930s, 70s, 80s, and 90s, in agreement with the hydrographic observational data. The difference is that there was no pre-warming prior to the 1930s episode, while there were two pre-warming episodes in the 1970s and 80s prior to the 1990s, leading the 1990s into the largest and prolonged warming in the 20th century. Over the last century, the simulated heat transport via Fram Strait and the Barents Sea was estimated to be, on average, 31.32 TW and 14.82 TW, respectively, while the Bering Strait also provides 15.94 TW heat into the west- ern Arctic Ocean. Heat transport into the Arctic Ocean by the Atlantic Water via Fram Strait and the Barents Sea correlates significantly with AWCT ( C = 0.75 ) at 0- lag. The modeled North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index has a significant correlation with the heat transport ( C = 0.37 ). The observed AWCT has a significant correlation with both the modeled AWCT ( C =0.49) and the heat transport ( C =0.41 ). However, the modeled NAO index does not significantly correlate with either the observed AWCT ( C = 0.03 ) or modeled AWCT ( C = 0.16 ) at a zero-lag, indicating that the Arctic climate system is far more complex than expected.

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