A UNIFIED FRAMEWORK FOR SITE SELECTION AND BUSINESS FORECASTING USING ANP

作     者：Enrique MU 

作者机构：Katz Graduate School of BusinessUniversity of PittsburghUSA 

出 版 物：《Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering》 (系统科学与系统工程学报（英文版）)

年 卷 期：2006年第15卷第2期

页      面：178-188页

核心收录：

学科分类：0711[理学-系统科学] 07[理学] 071102[理学-系统分析与集成] 

主　　题：ANP AHE non-profit decision-making predictive models site selection 

摘      要：This paper reports an on-going application of the Analytic Network Process （ANP） in the context of a non-profit organization： The Latin American Studies Association （LASA）. This institution organizes a large international conference every eighteen months and needs to estimate conference attendance in advance （for logistic purposes） as well as selecting a host city where the combination of hotel infrastructure, conference costs, and so on, makes it a sound financial choice. In this paper, ANP will be used to： first, create a model to predict the relative number of attendees to the forthcoming 2009 LASA conference; and second, to create a Benefit-Cost-Risk （BCR） model to select the most suitable Latin American city as the conference site, This paper shows how the combination of these two ANP models, one for prediction and one for selection, can be used together for effective decision-making.