Evaluation of Uncertainties Related to the Near Field Model of Geological Repository for Spent Nuclear Fuel

作     者：Dana Baratova Vladimir Necas 

作者机构：Institute of Nuclear and Physical EngineeringSlovak University of Technology in BratislavaSlovakia 

出 版 物：《World Journal of Engineering and Technology》 (世界工程和技术（英文）)

年 卷 期：2015年第3卷第3期

页      面：163-169页

学科分类：1002[医学-临床医学] 100214[医学-肿瘤学] 10[医学] 

主　　题：Geological Disposal Near Field Model GoldSim Uncertainty Probabilistic Simulation 

摘      要：In Slovakia, a direct disposal of spent nuclear fuel in a deep geological repository within the country after a certain period of interim storage is a preferred option. This paper briefly describes near field model of radionuclide migration developed in GoldSim simulation code environment and analyses the calculated results on time-dependent release rates of safety relevant radionuclides. Given the fact that GoldSimalso enables to perform probabilistic simulations using the Monte Carlo method, a probabilistic approach was chosen to assess the influence of selected near field parameter uncertainties related to radionuclide migration on the radionuclide release rates from the bentonite buffer to the surrounding host rock. Based on the results, release rates of nuclides which exceed their solubility limits are effectively lowered and many of nuclides are significantly sorbed on the buffer material. It can be seen that the variance of the total release rate in the case of solubility uncertainty is almost two orders of magnitude within a long period of time.