Risk Decision Analysis of Logistics Purchasing Based on Mathematical Expectation
Risk Decision Analysis of Logistics Purchasing Based on Mathematical Expectation作者机构：School of Information Beijing Wuzi University Beijing China
出 版 物：《Open Journal of Modelling and Simulation》 (建模与仿真（英文）)
年 卷 期：2016年第4卷第2期
页 面：41-45页
学科分类：07[理学] 0701[理学-数学] 070101[理学-基础数学]
主 题：Mathematical Expectation Logistics Purchasing Risk Decision Stability
摘 要：The mathematical expectation value method is a commonly used method in risk decision-making. This paper studies the problem of how to arrange the purchase plan in order to get the maximum expected profit;considering the applicable principles of mathematical expectation, the decision method for getting the optimal decision scheme is given. Finally, we do simulation and stability analysis on an example and obtain the reasonable result. This result shows that mathematical expectation value method is effective in solving the problem of risk decision.
维普期刊数据库