Competition of spatial service hinterlands between high-speed rail and air transport in China： Present and future trends

作     者：WANG Jiaoe JIAO Jingjuan DU Chao HU Hao 

作者机构：Key Laboratory of Regional Sustainable Development Modeling Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research CAS Beijing 100101 China University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100049 China Institute for Urban and Environmental Studies Chinese Academy of Social Sciences Beijing 100028 China 

出 版 物：《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 (地理学报（英文版）)

年 卷 期：2015年第25卷第9期

页      面：1137-1152页

核心收录：

学科分类：12[管理学] 0202[经济学-应用经济学] 02[经济学] 1201[管理学-管理科学与工程(可授管理学、工学学位)] 0709[理学-地质学] 020205[经济学-产业经济学] 08[工学] 082303[工学-交通运输规划与管理] 0704[理学-天文学] 0814[工学-土木工程] 082301[工学-道路与铁道工程] 0823[工学-交通运输工程] 

基　　金：National Natural Science Foundation of China, No. 41371143 No. 41171107 Programme of Bingwei Excellent Young Scientists of the Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, No.2011RC201 

主　　题：high-speed rail civil aviation spatial analysis service market China 

摘      要：The rapid development of high-speed rail （HSR） and air transport in China has encouraged research on the spatial effects and safety of these two modes of transport, and on the competition between them. We report here an investigation of the effects of competi- tion between HSR and air transport in China from a geographical perspective. The spatial service hinterlands for HSR and air transport accessible within one and two hours by road transport were investigated using a method based on a geographical information system and the overlapping service hinterlands of HSR and air transport were established. A city with both HSR stations and airports, or that was accessible to HSR stations and airports within a certain travel time by road transport, was defined as the overlapping market. The spatial effects of competition between HSR and air transport at present and in the future were then studied with respect to the planned HSR network and airports. The results showed that both HSR and air transport tend to serve areas with high population densities and well-developed econo- mies and in 2012 most of the population and GDP in China were accessible within two hours by road transport to an HSR station or airport. -the different technical and economic charac- teristics of HSR and air transport determine the advantage markets. Spatially, the service hinterland of HSR mainly focuses on urban agglomerations and economic corridors in the eastern and central regions, whereas air transport has a competitive advantage in the more inaccessible western region of China. The overlapping market of HSR and air transport will become increasingly large in the future and cities with a population of over one million and cities within 30 km to both airports and HSR stations will become the major competitive markets. Considering the cost of construction and the number of passengers required for economic operation, as well as the competition with air transport, it is suggested that the construct