Petroleum substitution, greenhouse gas emissions reduction and environmental benefits from the development of natural gas vehicles in China

作     者：Jie-Hui Yuan Sheng Zhou Tian-Duo Peng Ge-Hua Wang Xun-Min Ou 

作者机构：Institute of Energy Environment and Economy Tsinghua University China Automotive Energy Research Centre Tsinghua University 

出 版 物：《Petroleum Science》 (石油科学（英文版）)

年 卷 期：2018年第15卷第3期

页      面：644-656页

核心收录：

学科分类：083002[工学-环境工程] 0830[工学-环境科学与工程（可授工学、理学、农学学位）] 082304[工学-载运工具运用工程] 08[工学] 0823[工学-交通运输工程] 

基　　金：co-sponsored by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (71774095, 71690244 and 71673165) the Postdoctoral Science Foundation of China (2017M610096) the International Science and Technology Cooperation Program of China (2016YFE0102200) 

主　　题：Natural gas vehicles Energy use Greenhouse gases Critical air pollutants China Life-cycle analysis 

摘      要：This study develops a bottom-up model to quantitatively assess the comprehensive effects of replacing traditional petroleum-powered vehicles with natural gas vehicles（NGVs） in China based on an investigation of the direct energy consumption and critical air pollutant（CAP） emission intensity, life-cycle energy use and greenhouse gas（GHG） emission intensity of NGV fleets. The results indicate that, on average, there are no net energy savings from replacing a traditional fuel vehicle with an NGV. Interestingly, an NGV results in significant reductions in direct CAP and life-cycle GHG emissions compared to those of a traditional fuel vehicle, ranging from 61% to 76% and 12% to 29%, respectively. Due to the increasing use of natural gas as a vehicle fuel in China（i.e. approximately 28.2 billion cubic metres of natural gas in2015）, the total petroleum substituted with natural gas was approximately 23.8 million tonnes（Mt）, which generated a GHG emission reduction of 16.9 Mt of CO2 equivalent and a CAP emission reduction of 1.8 Mt in 2015. Given the significant contribution of NGVs, growing the NGV population in 2020 will further increase the petroleum substitution benefits and CAP and GHG emission reduction benefits by approximately 42.5 Mt of petroleum-based fuel, 3.1 Mt of CAPs and 28.0 Mt of GHGs. By 2030, these benefits will reach 81.5 Mt of traditional petroleum fuel, 5.6 Mt of CAPs and 50.5 Mt of GHGs, respectively.