Availability of Lithium Ion Batteries from Hybrid and Electric Cars for Second Use： How to Forecast for Germany until 2030
Availability of Lithium Ion Batteries from Hybrid and Electric Cars for Second Use： How to Forecast for Germany until 2030作者机构：Center of Automotive Research on Integrated Safety Systems and Measurement Area (CARISSMA) Technische Hochschule Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 85049 Germany School of Engineering Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology (RMIT) Melbourne VIC 3000 Australia Faculty of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science Technische Hochschule Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 85049 Germany Fraunhofer Institute for Transportation and Infrastructure Systems IVI Dresden 01069 Germany
出 版 物：《Journal of Electrical Engineering》 (电气工程（英文版）)
年 卷 期：2018年第6卷第3期
页 面：129-143页
主 题：Forecast model lithium ion batteries second use recycling HEV PHEV BEV.
摘 要：Due to growing numbers of sold HEV （hybrid electric vehicles）, PHEV （plug-in hybrid electric vehicles）, and BEV （battery electric vehicles）, new market opportunities to reuse or recycle old lithium ion batteries arise. Thus, a forecast of available batteries caused by accidents or from end-of-life vehicles was carried out using a mathematical model. Input data were obtained from an estimate of newly registered hybrid and electric vehicles in Germany from 2010 until 2030, from the accident rate of cars in Germany, and from the average cars’ lifetime. The results indicate that （a） the total amount of available second use batteries in 2030 will be between 130,000 units/year and 500,000 units/year, （b） the highest amount of batteries will be obtained from end-of-life vehicles not from accident vehicles, although most batteries from accident vehicles will be suitable for 2nd use, and （c） the quantity of hybrid, plug-in hybrid, and electric car batteries available for reuse will continue to rise after 2030.
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