Intermediate to Long-term Estimation of Strong Earthquake Risk Areas in the Chinese Mainland Based on Geodesic Measurements

作     者：Zhang Jing Zhu Yiqing Wu Yanqiang Zhang Xi Yang Guohua 

作者机构：Key Laboratory of Earthquake PredictionInstitute of Earthquake ForecastingCEABeijing 100036China The First Monitoring and Application CenterCEATianjin 300180China The Second Monitoring and Application CenterCEAXi'an 710054China 

出 版 物：《Earthquake Research in China》 (中国地震研究（英文版）)

年 卷 期：2018年第32卷第2期

页      面：153-172页

核心收录：

学科分类：070801[理学-固体地球物理学] 07[理学] 0708[理学-地球物理学] 

基　　金：sponsored by the Special Fund for Earthquake Scientific Research of ERC 

主　　题：Estimation of earthquake risk area Geodetic measurement The Chinese mainland 

摘      要：Based on previous research results,present-day crustal deformation and gravity fields in the Chinese mainland are analyzed using the GPS data,leveling,gravity and cross-fault deformations. We analyzed strain accumulation of the major faults,and identified locked or high strain accumulation segments. Combining the effects of large earthquakes in the study area,the long-term (decade) probability of large earthquakes in the Chinese mainland is estimated.