A car-following model with the anticipation effect of potential lane changing

作     者：Tieqiao Tang Haijun Huang S. C. Wong Rui Jiang 

作者机构：School of Transportation Science and EngineeringBeihang University Beijing 100083 China School of Economics and Management Beihang UniversityBeijing 100083 China Department of Civil Engineering The University of Hong KongPokfulam Road Hong Kong China School of Engineering ScienceUniversity of Science and Technology of ChinaHefei 230026 China 

出 版 物：《Acta Mechanica Sinica》 (力学学报（英文版）)

年 卷 期：2008年第24卷第4期

页      面：399-407页

核心收录：

学科分类：08[工学] 082303[工学-交通运输规划与管理] 0802[工学-机械工程] 0701[理学-数学] 082302[工学-交通信息工程及控制] 0801[工学-力学（可授工学、理学学位）] 0702[理学-物理学] 0823[工学-交通运输工程] 

基　　金：the National Natural Science Foundation of China (70701002,70521001) the National Basic Research Program of China (2006CB705503) the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (HKU7187/05E) 

主　　题：Car following model· Lane changing probability·Stability 

摘      要：In this paper, a new car-following model is presented, taking into account the anticipation of potential lane changing by the leading vehicle. The stability condition of the model is obtained by using the linear stability theory. The modified Korteweg-de Vries （KdV） equation is constructed and solved, and three types of traffic flow in the headway-sensitivity space, namely stable, metastable and unstable ones, are classified. Both the analytical and simu- lation results show that anxiety about lane changing does indeed have an influence on driving behavior and that a consideration of lane changing probability in the car-following model could stabilize traffic flows. The quantitative relationship between stability improvement and lane changing probability is also investigated.