Free-Trade Agreements in a Model of Trade, Migration and Politics

作     者：John Douglas Wilson Ilkay Yilmaz 

作者机构：Department of Economics Michigan State University East Lansing M1 48824 USA Department of Economics Mersin University Ciftlikkoy Yenisehir 33342 Mersin Turkey 

出 版 物：《Frontiers of Economics in China-Selected Publications from Chinese Universities》 (中国高等学校学术文摘·经济学（英文版）)

年 卷 期：2018年第13卷第1期

页      面：15-31页

学科分类：0202[经济学-应用经济学] 02[经济学] 0201[经济学-理论经济学] 020105[经济学-世界经济] 

基　　金：University of Kentucky, UK University of Washington, UW 

主　　题：free trade migration Heckscher-Ohlin labor-abundant capital-abundant 

摘      要：This paper uses a probabilistic voting model to investigate voting for a free-trade agreement between a labor-abundant country and a capital-abundant country. Migration from the labor-abundant country to the capital-abundant country increases the probability of a free-trade agreement, with lower migration costs leading to more migration and a higher free-trade probability. On the other hand, if a lower probability of free trade is caused by an increased voter bias against free-trade candidates, then there is less migration. A dynamic extension of the model is also investigated.