Analyzing Industrial Structure Evolution of Old Industrial Cities Using Evolutionary Resilience Theory：A Case Study in Shenyang of China

作     者：GUAN Haoming LIU Wenxin ZHANG Pingyu LO Kevin LI Jing LI Liangang 

作者机构：Northeast Institute of Geography and Agroecology Chinese Academy of Sciences Changchun 130102 China University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100049 China Department of Geography Hong Kong Baptist University Hong Kong China 

出 版 物：《Chinese Geographical Science》 (中国地理科学（英文版）)

年 卷 期：2018年第28卷第3期

页      面：516-528页

核心收录：

学科分类：02[经济学] 0202[经济学-应用经济学] 020202[经济学-区域经济学] 

基　　金：Under the auspices of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.41571152,41771179,41630749,41601124) the Key Deployment Projects of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(No.ZDBS-SSW-SQC) 135 Planning and Featured Services Projects of IGA,Chinese Academy of Sciences(No.Y6H2091001) 

主　　题：evolutionary resilience industrial evolution path economic cycle model old industrial city Shenyang 

摘      要：The recession and revitalization of old industrial cities concerns urban industrial evolution and its characteristics. Based on the theory of evolutionary resilience, we developed an analytical framework for the industrial structure evolution of old industrial cities, and applied the framework to a case study in Shenyang. The following conclusions are drawn. First, since 1978, Shenyang s industrial growth capacity has shown fluctuation between ‘contraction-expansion . As the secondary industry has a much stronger expansionary and contractionary capacity for growth, this results in lacking stability leading to industrial structure transformation. Second, since 1999, the orientation towards a high-end manufacturing industry in Shenyang has weakened, and the evolution of the new and old growth path is characterized by low-end orientation. Third, since 2007, Shenyang s industrial innovation output capacity has dropped sharply which has been significantly affected by scientific and technological personnel and enterprise-owed science and technology institutions and to a less extent by R&D expenditure. We applied the resilience theory to study the industrial evolution of an old industrial city, explored new study perspectives on industrial evolution and verified the applicability of the resilience theory. This paper provides a scientific reference for understanding the recent deceleration in economic growth in the Northeast old industrial base, and for exploring new paths toward revitalization.