Evaluation of Earthquake Emergency Plan Based on SD Model

作     者：Ran CHANG Qiuhong ZHAO Nenad MLADENOVIC 

作者机构：School of Economics and Management Beihang University Mathematical Institute Serbian Academy of Sciences and Arts 

出 版 物：《Journal of Systems Science and Information》 (系统科学与信息学报（英文）)

年 卷 期：2017年第8卷第4期

页      面：289-301页

核心收录：

学科分类：070801[理学-固体地球物理学] 07[理学] 0708[理学-地球物理学] 

基　　金：Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(91224007) 

主　　题：earthquake emergency plan SD modeling plan evaluation 

摘      要：Based on the system dynamics(SD) model, this paper puts forward a quantitative method to evaluate the earthquake emergency plan in China. Firstly, we analyze the disaster system structure and the content of plan. Using the analysis results, we establish a system dynamics(SD) model and then carry out its simulation. According to the simulation results, the rescue effect using the plan of 2012 is better than that of 2006. From the policy level, in order to reduce loss, government should maintain communication smoothly, improve the ability of self and mutual help, strengthen the management of public opinion, and pay more attention to secondary disasters.