Dilemmas and Pathways to Dealing with Flood Problems in Twenty-First Century China

作     者：Guoyi Han Roger E.Kasperson 

作者机构：Stockholm Environment Institute(SEI)10691 StockholmSweden Graduate School of GeographyClark UniversityMA 01610USA 

出 版 物：《International Journal of Disaster Risk Science》 (国际灾害风险科学学报（英文版）)

年 卷 期：2011年第2卷第3期

页      面：21-30页

核心收录：

学科分类：0709[理学-地质学] 08[工学] 0303[法学-社会学] 0832[工学-食品科学与工程（可授工学、农学学位）] 083002[工学-环境工程] 0830[工学-环境科学与工程（可授工学、理学、农学学位）] 1201[管理学-管理科学与工程(可授管理学、工学学位)] 0708[理学-地球物理学] 0705[理学-地理学] 0837[工学-安全科学与工程] 0706[理学-大气科学] 0813[工学-建筑学] 0704[理学-天文学] 0833[工学-城乡规划学] 

基　　金：This work was partly supported by the Risk and Hazard Science Base(111 Project)at the State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology Beijing Normal University China 

主　　题：flood continued floods 

摘      要：With more than 60 percent of China’s 1.34 billion population,about 50 percent of its most productive arable land,and the world’s second largest and rapidly growing national GDP exposed to flooding of various kinds,China has an intractable flood *** potential impacts of climate change and continued intensification of floodplain development driven by rapid industrialization and urbanization,it is very likely that China will see a continued increase of exposure to floods this *** overview article outlines and discusses fundamental dilemmas,plausible pathways,and key options for managing future flood risks in China in the context of rapid socioeconomic transition and climate *** dilemmas are the embedded difficult trade-off choices,from balancing economic development with flood vulnerability reduction,to coordination and cooperation among increasingly diverse actors and across *** plausible pathways,this article argues that a resilience strategy for managing flood risk is *** would require human adjustment to flood,not by aiming for full protection and control but by adjusting our use of floodplains,integrating and experimenting with a wide range of flood risk management options,so that a dynamic balance is maintained between exposure and coping capacity and flood risk is contained at an acceptable *** variability and uncertainty lies at the heart of such a flood resilience centered *** the flood toll cannot be had without trade-offs in economic development,food production,and agricultural productivity.