T=S Model to Simulate Regional Economic Development

作     者：Wang Qing, Chen Guo-jie, Zhang Yu, Chen YongInstitute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chengdu 610041, Sichuan, China Wang Qing, Chen Guo-jie, Zhang Yu, Chen YongInstitute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chengdu 610041, Sichuan, China

作者机构：Institute of Mountain Hazards and EnvironmentChinese Academy of Sciences Chengdu 610041 SichuanChina 

出 版 物：《Wuhan University Journal of Natural Sciences》 (武汉大学学报（自然科学英文版）)

年 卷 期：2003年第8卷第3B期

页      面：893-896页

学科分类：02[经济学] 0202[经济学-应用经济学] 020209[经济学-数量经济学] 020202[经济学-区域经济学] 

基　　金：Supported by the Knowledge Innovation Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences and National Key Technologies R &D Program in the 10th Five-Ycar Plan of china(2001BA901A40) 

主　　题：Logistic model temporal & spatial model simulation lag time effect economic growth 

摘      要：This paper proposes a mechanism theory on regional development by using a modified Logistic model. It reveals regional evolution is an integration of fluctuation in temporal dimension and disparity in spatial dimension. T = S model is established by using Logistic model to simulate the growth of per capita GDP in China from 1990 to 1999. The result shows that T=S model accurately simulates the tracks of economic growth.