Effect of climatic change on snowmelt runoffs in mountainous regions of inland rivers in Northwestern China

作     者：WANG Jian1 & LI Shuo2 1. Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, China 2. College of Geography, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210097, China 

作者机构：Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute Chinese Academy of Sciences College of Geography Nanjing Normal University 

出 版 物：《Science China Earth Sciences》 (中国科学（地球科学英文版）)

年 卷 期：2006年第49卷第8期

页      面：881-888页

核心收录：

学科分类：07[理学] 070601[理学-气象学] 0708[理学-地球物理学] 0706[理学-大气科学] 0704[理学-天文学] 

基　　金：863 Program-2002AA133062 Chinese Academy of Sciences,CAS 

主　　题：climatic changes, snowmelt runoff, SRM model, upper Heihe Watershed, simulating. 

摘      要：Climatic change has significant impacts on snow cover in mid-latitude mountainous re- gions, in the meantime, spatial and temporal changes of snow cover and snowmelt runoffs are con- sidered as sensitive indicators for climatic change. In this study, the upper Heihe Watershed in the Qilian Mountains was selected as a typical area affected by snow cover and snowmelt runoffs in northwestern China. The changes in air temperatures, precipitation, snowfall and spring snowmelt runoffs were analyzed for the period from 1956 to 2001. The results indicate that climatic warming was apparent, particularly in January and February, but precipitation just fluctuated without a clear trend. The possible changes of snowmelt runoffs in the upper Heihe watershed in response to a warming of 4℃ were simulated using Snowmelt Runoff Model (SRM) based on the degree-day factor algorithm. The results of the simulation indicate that a forward shifting of snow melting season, an increase in water flows in earlier melting season, and a decline in flows in later melting season would occur under a 4℃ warming scenario.