Impacts of Total Energy Consumption Control and Energy Quota Allocation on China′s Regional Economy Based on A 30-region Computable General Equilibrium Analysis

作     者：LI Na SHI Minjun SHANG Zhiyuan YUAN Yongna 

作者机构：University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Research Center on Fictitious Economy & Data ScienceChinese Academy of Sciences 

出 版 物：《Chinese Geographical Science》 (中国地理科学（英文版）)

年 卷 期：2015年第25卷第6期

页      面：657-671页

核心收录：

学科分类：0303[法学-社会学] 02[经济学] 0202[经济学-应用经济学] 0708[理学-地球物理学] 020201[经济学-国民经济学] 0705[理学-地理学] 0813[工学-建筑学] 0704[理学-天文学] 0833[工学-城乡规划学] 

基　　金：National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.41101556 71173212 71203215) 

主　　题：能源消费 区域经济 配额 分析控制 计算 分配方案 中国 位置 

摘      要：This paper examined the impacts of the total energy consumption control policy and energy quota allocation plans on China′s regional economy. This research analyzed the influences of different energy quota allocation plans with various weights of equity and efficiency, using a dynamic computable general equilibrium(CGE) model for 30 province-level administrative regions. The results show that the efficiency-first allocation plan costs the least but widens regional income gap, whereas the outcomes of equity-first allocation plan and intensity target-based allocation plan are similar and are both opposite to the efficiency-first allocation plan′ outcome. The plan featuring a balance between efficiency and equity is more feasible, which can bring regional economic losses evenly and prevent massive interregional migration of energy-related industries. Furthermore, the effects of possible induced energy technology improvements in different energy quota allocation plans were studied. Induced energy technology improvements can add more feasibility to all allocation plans under the total energy consumption control policy. In the long term, if the policy of the total energy consumption control continues and more market-based tools are implemented to allocate energy quotas, the positive consequences of induced energy technology improvements will become much more obvious.