Environmental　risk　assessment　of　the　middle　route　of　south－to－north　water　transferring　source　project　in　China

作     者：Wang Huadong Wang Fei(Institute of Environmental Sciences,Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China) 

作者机构：Institute of Environmental Sciences Beijing Normal University Beijing 100875 China 

出 版 物：《Journal of Environmental Sciences》 (环境科学学报（英文版）)

年 卷 期：1996年第8卷第3期

页      面：285-291页

核心收录：

学科分类：083002[工学-环境工程] 0830[工学-环境科学与工程（可授工学、理学、农学学位）] 07[理学] 08[工学] 0713[理学-生态学] 

主　　题：water source project environment risk risk assessment 

摘      要：This paper focused on the environment risk of the middle route of south-to-north water transferring source project in China. Analytic hierarchy process was applied to risk identification,fuzzy probability-fault tree analysis to risk probability assessment,statistics and analogy process to risk consequences assessment, lastly, grey relevant analysis and comprehensive index process to risk impact evaluation. The main environment risk accident of the project is dam failure, the main causative factors of the accident are catastrophic flood and wrecking earthquake. The flash flood, due to dam failure, will impact on nature, society and economy. The major environment risk areas are Jingzhou and Xiangfan,Hubei Province. The environment risk management measures should be adopted in order to ensure the safety of the project-environment complex system.