The Impact of Demographics and Cultural Tourism on University Enrollments in Calabria, Italy

作     者：Giuseppe De Bartolo 

作者机构：University of CalabriaCalabriaItaly 

出 版 物：《Sociology Study》 

年 卷 期：2024年第14卷第4期

页      面：190-197页

学科分类：0502[文学-外国语言文学] 050201[文学-英语语言文学] 05[文学] 

主　　题：demographics cultural tourism university enrollments Calabria region 

摘      要：The decline in the birth rate,which has been uninterrupted in Italy since the mid-1960s,has had a significant impact on many aspects of *** far as the educational system is concerned,this phenomenon has acted like a wave,first causing a decline in the population of the first school age groups,then in the other groups,until recently affecting the 19-25 age group,which includes the majority of university *** a result,the majority of Italian universities have seen a decline over time in both enrollments(matriculations)and student numbers(enrollments),although the situation varies from one area to *** the Mezzogiorno,this trend is even more pronounced,since an increasing number of resident students tend to favor universities in the Centre-North,creating a South-Centre-North movement,which could be compared to a particular form of cultural tourism,without a similar flow in the opposite ***,the study highlights the probable consequences of the recent demographic depopulation on the future trend of university enrollment of residents aged 19-25 in the Calabria region,using the most recent demographic projections of Istat and constructing two evolutionary *** the first scenario,we have assumed that in the near future university enrollment rates remain constant throughout the period considered;in the second scenario,these rates instead experience a gradual and continuous *** results could be useful if further forecasts of university enrollments were to be made at the level of individual Calabrian universities.