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The Regions with the Most Significant Temperature Trends During the Last Century

20世纪全球增暖最显著的区域(英文)

作     者:曾昭美 严中伟 叶笃正 Zeng Zhaomei;Yan Zhongwei;YE Duzheng

作者机构:Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100029 China 

出 版 物:《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 (大气科学进展(英文版))

年 卷 期:2001年第18卷第4期

页      面:481-496页

核心收录:

学科分类:083001[工学-环境科学] 0830[工学-环境科学与工程(可授工学、理学、农学学位)] 08[工学] 

基  金:This study was supported by the Ministry of Science and Technology Projects O 1999043400 National Key Project-Studies on Sh 

主  题:Temperature trend Mann-Kendall’s Test Significance Regional difference Correlation coefficient 

摘      要:Having analyzed a global grid temperature anomaly data set and some sea level pressure data during the last century, we found the following facts. Firstly, the annual temperature change with a warming trend of about 0.6°C/ 100 years in the tropical area over Indian to the western Pacific Oceans was most closely correlated to the global mean change. Therefore, the temperature change in this area might serve as an indi-cator of global mean change at annual and longer time scales. Secondly, a cooling of about -0.3°C/ 100 years occurred over the northern Atlantic. Thirdly, a two-wave pattern of temperature change, warming over northern Asia and northwestern America and cooling over the northern Atlantic and the northern Pa-cific, occurred during the last half century linked to strengthening westerlies over the northern Atlantic and the weakening Siberian High. Fourthly, a remarkable seasonal difference occurred over the Eurasian con-tinent, with cooling (warming) in winter (summer) during 1896–1945, and warming (cooling) in winter (summer) during 1946-1995. The corresponding variations of the North Atlantic Oscillation and the South-ern Oscillation were also discussed. Key words Temperature trend - Mann-Kendall’s Test - Significance - Regional difference - Correlation coefficient This study was supported by the Ministry of Science and Technology Projects G1999043400 and Na-tional Key Project- “Studies on Short-Term Climate Prediction System in China under Grant No.96-908-01-04.

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