Population Quantity Variations of Oriental Fruit Fly (Bactrocera dorsalis Hendel) on the Basis of Stepwise Regression Analysis

作     者：张丽莲 杨林楠 杨仕生 

作者机构：云南农业大学基础与信息工程学院云南昆明650201 云南省建水县植保站云南建水654300 

出 版 物：《Plant Diseases and Pests》 (植物病虫害研究（英文版）)

年 卷 期：2010年第1卷第2期

页      面：32-34页

学科分类：09[农学] 0904[农学-植物保护] 090402[农学-农业昆虫与害虫防治] 

基　　金：Supported by National Key Technology R&D Program in the11th Five Year Plan of China(2006BAD10A14)~~ 

主　　题：Oriental fruit fly Stepwise regression analysis Meteorological factors 

摘      要：[Objective] The research aimed to study the significant influence factors of the population variations of oriental fruit fly. [Method] Using stepwise regression analysis, the population variations law of oriental fruit fly in Jianshui County of Yunnan province and the meteorological factors that caused its occurrence were analyzed. And the regression model was built. Finally, the regression model was tested on the basis of the data in Jianshui County of Yunnan Province during 2004-2006.[Result] The main meteorological factors that influenced the occurrence of oriental fruit fly were relative humidity, the lowest monthly temperature and rainfall. [Conclusion] This study will provide certain reference for the prediction researches on the time, quantity and occurrence peak of oriental fruit fly.