An scientific evaluation of annual earthquake prediction ability

作     者：张国民 刘杰 石耀霖 

作者机构：Center for Analysis and Prediction China Seismological Bureau Beijing 100036 China Graduate School Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100039 China 

出 版 物：《Acta Seismologica Sinica(English Edition)》 (ACTA SEISMOLOGICA SINICA)

年 卷 期：2002年第15卷第5期

页      面：550-558页

核心收录：

学科分类：070801[理学-固体地球物理学] 07[理学] 0708[理学-地球物理学] 

基　　金：The Development and Planning Project of National Important Base Research (G19980407). 

主　　题：earthquake prediction annual consulation prediction evaluation 

摘      要：The scientific idea of earthquake prediction in China is introduced in this paper. The various problems on evaluation of earthquake prediction ability are analyzed. The practical effect of prediction on annual seismic risk areas in 1990~2000 in China is discussed based on R-value evaluation method, and the ability of present earthquake prediction in China is reviewed.