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A Universal Spectrum for Interannual Variability of Monsoon Rainfall over India

A Universal Spectrum for Interannual Variability of Monsoon Rainfall over India

作     者:A. Mary Selvam 

作者机构:Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology Pune 411008 India 

出 版 物:《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 (大气科学进展(英文版))

年 卷 期:1993年第10卷第2期

页      面:221-226页

核心收录:

学科分类:07[理学] 070601[理学-气象学] 0706[理学-大气科学] 

主  题:A Universal Spectrum for Interannual Variability of Monsoon Rainfall over India over 

摘      要:Continuous periodogram analyses of 115 years (1871-1985) summer monsoon rainfall over the Indian region show that the power spectra follow the universal and unique inverse power law form of the statistical normal distribution with the percentage contribution to total variance representing the eddy probability corresponding to the normalized standard deviation equal to [(log L / log T50)-1] where L is the period length in years and T50 the period up to which the cumulative percentage contribution to total variance is equal to 50. The above results are consistent with a recently developed non-deterministic cell dynamical model for atmospheric flows. The implications of the above result for prediction of interannual variability of rainfall is discussed.

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