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Identification of risk factors and construction of a nomogram predictive model for post-stroke infection in patients with acute ischemic stroke

作     者:Xiao-Chen Liu Xiao-Jie Chang Si-Ren Zhao Shan-Shan Zhu Yan-Yan Tian Jing Zhang Xin-Yue Li 

作者机构:Department of NeurosurgeryShandong Provincial Third HospitalJinan 250031Shandong ProvinceChina Department of NeurologyShandong Provincial Third HospitalJinan 250031Shandong ProvinceChina 

出 版 物:《World Journal of Clinical Cases》 (世界临床病例杂志)

年 卷 期:2024年第12卷第20期

页      面:4048-4056页

学科分类:1002[医学-临床医学] 100204[医学-神经病学] 10[医学] 

基  金:Shandong Province Grassroots Health Technology Innovation Program Project No.JCK22007 

主  题:Acute ischemic stroke Infection Risk factors Nomogram prediction model Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease 

摘      要:BACKGROUND Post-stroke infection is the most common complication of stroke and poses a huge threat to *** addition to prolonging the hospitalization time and increasing the medical burden,post-stroke infection also significantly increases the risk of disease and *** the risk factors for post-stroke infection in patients with acute ischemic stroke(AIS)is of great *** can guide clinical practice to perform corresponding prevention and control work early,minimizing the risk of stroke-related infections and ensuring favorable disease *** To explore the risk factors for post-stroke infection in patients with AIS and to construct a nomogram predictive *** The clinical data of 206 patients with AIS admitted to our hospital between April 2020 and April 2023 were retrospectively *** data and post-stroke infection status of all study subjects were assessed,and the risk factors for poststroke infection in patients with AIS were *** Totally,48 patients with AIS developed stroke,with an infection rate of 23.3%.Age,diabetes,disturbance of consciousness,high National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale(NIHSS)score at admission,invasive operation,and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD)were risk factors for post-stroke infection in patients with AIS(P0.05).A nomogram prediction model was constructed with a C-index of 0.891,reflecting the good potential clinical efficacy of the nomogram prediction *** calibration curve also showed good consistency between the actual observations and nomogram *** area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.891(95%confidence interval:0.839–0.942),showing predictive value for post-stroke *** the optimal cutoff value was selected,the sensitivity and specificity were 87.5%and 79.7%,*** Age,diabetes,disturbance of consciousness,NIHSS score at admission,invasive surgery,and COPD are risk factors for post-st

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