Tuberculosis Prevalence Trends from a Predictive Modelling Study-10 High-Burden Countries,1980-2035

作     者：Qiuping Chen Qiao Liu Kangguo Li Laurent Gavotte Roger Frutos Tianmu Chen 

作者机构：CIRADIntertrypMontpellierFrance Universitéde MontpellierMontpellierFrance State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular DiagnosticsNational Innovation Platform for Industry-Education Integration in Vaccine ResearchXiamen UniversityXiamen CityFujian ProvinceChina State Key Laboratory of Vaccines for Infectious DiseasesXiang An Biomedicine LaboratorySchool of Public HealthXiamen UniversityXiamen CityFujian ProvinceChina Espace-DevUniversitéde MontpellierMontpellierFrance 

出 版 物：《China CDC weekly》 (中国疾病预防控制中心周报（英文）)

年 卷 期：2024年第6卷第12期

页      面：225-229,I0001,I0002页

核心收录：

学科分类：1004[医学-公共卫生与预防医学(可授医学、理学学位)] 1002[医学-临床医学] 10[医学] 

基　　金：This study was supported by Selfsupporting Program of Guangzhou Laboratory(grant number:No.SRPG22-007). 

主　　题：tuberculosis uncertain Tuberculosis 

摘      要：What is already known about this topic?Given the challenges presented by drug-resistant strains of tuberculosis(TB)and the rising mobility of the population,achieving the objective of eradicating TB appears uncertain.What is added by this report?The examination of TB incidence trends in 10 highburden countries(HBCs)indicated a steady rise in cases,with India and China jointly accounting for nearly 70%of the burden.Projections for the future show diverse trajectories in these countries,with potential difficulties in reaching the TB elimination target,especially in Nigeria,Congo,and South Africa.What are the implications for public health practice?The number of TB cases is on the rise.It is crucial to learn from successful strategies to improve TB prevention and control worldwide through collaborative efforts.