Recent progress in research and forecasting of tropical cyclone outer size
作者机构：Cooperative Institute for Severe and High-Impact Weather Research and OperationsUniversity of OklahomaNormanOKUSA NOAA/OAR National Severe Storms LaboratoryNormanOKUSA School of MeteorologyUniversity of OklahomaOklahomaUSA MetServiceWellingtonNew Zealand Department of EarthAtmosphericand Planetary SciencePurdue UniversityWest LafayetteINUSA School of Atmospheric SciencesSun Yat-sen UniversitySouthern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory(Zhuhai)ZhuhaiChina Guangdong Province Key Laboratory for Climate Change and Natural Disaster StudiesSun Yat-sen UniversityZhuhaiChina Key Laboratory of Tropical Atmosphere-Ocean System(Sun Yat-sen University)Ministry of EducationZhuhaiChina Joint Typhoon Warning CenterPearl HarborHawaiiUSA Fiji Meteorological ServiceNadiFiji Cooperative Institute for Research in the AtmosphereFort CollinsCOUSA
出 版 物：《Tropical Cyclone Research and Review》 (热带气旋研究与评论（英文版）)
年 卷 期：2023年第12卷第3期
页 面：151-164页
学科分类：07[理学] 070601[理学-气象学] 0706[理学-大气科学]
基 金：supported by funding from NOAA/Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research under NOAAUniversity of Oklahoma Cooperative Agreement#NA21OAR4320204 U.S.Department of Commerce,and NSF AGS#2028151 Daniel Chavas is supported by NSF AGS#1945113.Kelvin T.F.Chan was jointly supported by the National Science Foundation,United States,National Key R&D Program of China(2019YFC1510400) the National Natural Science Foundation of China(41975052) the Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation(2023A1515010741) the Innovation Group Project of the Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory(Zhuhai 311021001) the Guangdong Province Key Laboratory for Climate Change and Natural Disaster Studies(2020B1212060025)
主 题：Tropical cyclones Climate change Operational forecasting Outer size Outer structure
摘 要：This review article summarizes the current understanding and recent updates to tropical cyclone outer size and structure forecasting and research primarily since 2018 as part of the World Meteorological Organization s 10th International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones.A more complete understanding of tropical cyclone outer wind and precipitation is key to anticipating storm intensification and the scale and magnitude of landfalling *** first discuss the relevance of tropical cyclone outer size and structure,improvements in our understanding of its life cycle and inter-basin variability,and the processes that impact outer size *** next focus on current forecasting practices and differences among warning centers,recent advances in operational forecasting,and new observations of the storm outer wind *** also summarize recent research on projected tropical cyclone outer size and structure changes by the late 21st ***,we discuss recommendations for the future of tropical cyclone outer size forecasting and research.
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