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Crisis, Stimulus Package and Migration in China

Crisis, Stimulus Package and Migration in China

作     者:Maria Csanadi Zihan Nie Shi Li 

作者机构:Scientific Advisor Center for Economic and Regional Studies Institute of Economics Budapest Hungary. PhD candidate Development Economics Group Department of Economics Wagcningen University the Netherlands. Professor School of Economics and Business Administration Beijing Normal University Beijing China. 

出 版 物:《China & World Economy》 (中国与世界经济(英文版))

年 卷 期:2015年第23卷第5期

页      面:43-62页

核心收录:

学科分类:12[管理学] 1204[管理学-公共管理] 120401[管理学-行政管理] 02[经济学] 0202[经济学-应用经济学] 03[法学] 0302[法学-政治学] 020206[经济学-国际贸易学] 030206[法学-国际政治] 020202[经济学-区域经济学] 

基  金:Hungarian National Research Fund 

主  题:employment migration spatial disparities stimulus package 

摘      要:This paper analyzes the short-term and long-term effects that the global economic crisis and the investment priorities of the Chinese Government's stimulus package had on Chinese migrant flows between 2008 and 2014. Combining micro-level household survey data and macro-level statistics, the authors have found that in the short run, the regional and sectoral impact of the crisis, combined with the government's investment priorities, caused a reorientation of migration routes from the export-oriented coastal provinces towards the central and western regions, from inter-provincial migration towards intra-provincial migration, and from manufacturing industry towards the construction sector. However, in the longer run, the decreasing attractiveness of the eastern region and the increasing attractiveness of the western region proved to be transitory, although the pre-crisis relative advantage of the eastern region was not fuUy restored. What proved to be persistent were the attractiveness of the central region and the intra-provincial migration in all three regions, and, in particular, the steady growth of migrants in the construction sector.

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