Research on strategic risk identification method of equipment system development based on system dynamics

作     者：WANG Xinfeng WANG Tao ZHOU Xin WANG Yanfeng WANG Xinfeng;WANG Tao;ZHOU Xin;WANG Yanfeng

作者机构：College of Systems EngineeringNational University of Defense TechnologyChangsha 410073China 

出 版 物：《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 (系统工程与电子技术（英文版）)

年 卷 期：2023年第34卷第5期

页      面：1225-1234页

核心收录：

学科分类：11[军事学] 0711[理学-系统科学] 1106[军事学-军制学] 07[理学] 071101[理学-系统理论] 110602[军事学-军队管理学] 

主　　题：equipment system development strategy manage-ment strategic risk management risk identification system dynamics loop diagram of causality 

摘      要：Strategic management of equipment system develop-ment must attach importance to effective strategic risk *** at the identification of strategic risk of equipment system development,firstly,the source of strategic risk of equip-ment system development is analyzed and *** on this,a causal loop diagram of strategic risk of equipment sys-tem development based on system dynamics is *** system dynamics analysis software Vensim PLE is used to carry out the risk influencing factors analysis,risk consequences ana-lysis,risk feedback loop identification and corresponding pre-control measures,and achieves a good risk identification effect.