Behavioral aspects and the transmission of Monkeypox:A novel approach to determine the probability of transmission for sexually transmissible diseases
作者机构：Mechanical Engineering DepartmentTexas Tech UniversityUSA
出 版 物：《Infectious Disease Modelling》 (传染病建模（英文）)
年 卷 期：2023年第8卷第3期
页 面：842-854页
核心收录：
学科分类：1004[医学-公共卫生与预防医学(可授医学、理学学位)] 100401[医学-流行病与卫生统计学] 10[医学]
主 题：approach convenient determine
摘 要：Motivated by the 2022 worldwide Monkeypox(MPox)outbreak,a compartmental model is proposed to predict the evolution of the *** models have been proposed for infectious diseases so far,although the number of variables makes it difficult to establish causation relations between individual factors and transmission *** order to evaluate the reaction of susceptible people to avoid infection during the outbreak,the rate of transmission is modeled through a unique phenomenological probabilistic approach,allowing the expression of the rate of generation of new cases in terms of two charac-teristics of the susceptible group:the frequency of sexual encounters and the probability of transmission given that there is a sexual *** rates are obtained and compared for the *** several other *** show reductions of up to 71%in the transmissibility parameter,which may be combined with variations in the frequency of sexual encounters(obtained through behavioral research)to determine the changes in the probability of transmission during an outbreak in a much more convenient way than current *** framework presents a valuable tool to health authorities in the understanding of future sexually transmissible disease outbreaks.
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