Effects of Large-Scale Climatic Oscillations on the Variability of the Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall

作     者：Deepak MEENA Athira K Sarmistha SINGH Deepak MEENA;Athira K;Sarmistha SINGH

作者机构：Department of Civil EngineeringIndian Institute of TechnologyPalakkadKerala 678557India 

出 版 物：《Journal of Meteorological Research》 (气象学报（英文版）)

年 卷 期：2023年第37卷第3期

页      面：341-352页

核心收录：

学科分类：07[理学] 070601[理学-气象学] 0706[理学-大气科学] 

主　　题：climatic oscillation Indian summer monsoon rainfall(ISMR) El Niño-Southern Oscillation(ENSO) Atlantic multidecadal oscillation(AMO) Pacific decadal oscillation(PDO) Wilcoxon Rank Sum(WRS)test 

摘      要：In India,large-scale climatic oscillations have strong influences on the Indian summer monsoon rainfall(ISMR),which plays a crucial role in India’s agricultural production and economic ***,there are limited studies in India that explore the influences of decadal and multidecadal oscillations on the ISMR and associated El Niño–Southern Oscillation(ENSO).Therefore,in this study we carried out a comprehensive and detailed investigation to understand the influences of ENSO,Pacific decadal oscillation(PDO),and Atlantic multidecadal oscillation(AMO)on ISMR across different regions in *** statistical significance of ISMR associated with different phases(positive/warm and negative/cold)of ENSO,PDO,and AMO(individual analysis),and combined ENSO–AMO,and ENSO–PDO(coupled analysis)were analysed by using the nonparametric Wilcoxon Rank Sum(WRS)*** individual analysis results indicate that in addition to the ENSO teleconnection,AMO and PDO significantly affect the spatial patterns of *** analysis was performed to understand how the phase shift of PDO and AMO has modulated the rainfall during El Niño and La Niña *** results indicate that the La Niña associated with a positive PDO phase caused excessive precipitation of about 21%–150%in the peninsular,west–central,and hilly regions compared to the individual effect of ENSO/PDO/AMO on ISMR;similarly,the west–central,coastal,and northwest regions received 15%–56%of excessive ***,during the El Niño combined with PDO positive(AMO positive),above-normal precipitation was observed in hilly,northeast,and coastal(hilly,northeast,west–central,and coastal)regions,opposite to the results obtained from the individual ENSO *** study emphasizes the importance of accounting the decadal and multidecadal forcing when examining variations in the ISMR during different phases of ENSO events.