Now-and Fore-casting the Secular Epidemiological Trends and Seasonality of the Comeback of Scarlet Fever in China:A 16-year Time Series Analysis

作     者：WANG Yong Bin LI Yan Yan LU Hao TAO Ying Jun LI Yu Hong WANG Lei LIANG Wen Juan WANG Yong Bin;LI Yan Yan;LU Hao;TAO Ying Jun;LI Yu Hong;WANG Lei;LIANG Wen Juan

作者机构：Department of Epidemiology and Health StatisticsSchool of Public HealthXinxiang Medical UniversityXinxiang 453003HenanChina National Center for Tuberculosis Control and PreventionChina Center for Disease Control and PreventionBeijing 102206China Center for Musculoskeletal SurgeryCharité-Universitätsmedizin BerlinCorporate Member of Freie Universität BerlinHumboldt-Universität Zu Berlin and Berlin Institute of HealthBerlinGermany 

出 版 物：《Biomedical and Environmental Sciences》 (生物医学与环境科学（英文版）)

年 卷 期：2022年第35卷第6期

页      面：563-567页

核心收录：

学科分类：0830[工学-环境科学与工程（可授工学、理学、农学学位）] 1004[医学-公共卫生与预防医学(可授医学、理学学位)] 100401[医学-流行病与卫生统计学] 10[医学] 

基　　金：supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Henan,China Innovation and Entrepreneurship Training Project for University Students of Henan Province and Xinxiang Medical University[222300420265,S202110472047,S202010472007,and XYXSKYZ201932] the Key Scientific Research Project of Universities in Henan[21A330004] 

主　　题：prevention mortality continued 

摘      要：Scarlet fever(SF)is a common communicable disease that results from group A Streptococcus(GAS)infections[1].SF accounted for the global loss of life among children 5–15 years of age in the 18th and 19th centuries[2].A rapid reduction in SF morbidity and mortality occurred due to the scale-up of effective antibiotics and improvements in sanitation and nutrition[3].The unexpected increase in the incidence of SF has attracted a renewed interest in infectious diseases[3].Because the triggers that cause SF outbreaks are not fully understood and there is a scarcity of available vaccines protecting susceptible populations from GAS infections,effective prevention and control plans are required to stop the continued spread of SF.