Consideration of climate change impacts will improve the efficiency of protected areas on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau

作     者：Zijian Lu Liangxu Wang Nan Meng Xuhuan Dai Jingyi Zhu Yanzheng Yang Ruonan Li Jinfeng Ma Hua Zheng 

作者机构：State Key Laboratory of Urban and Regional EcologyResearch Center for Eco-environmental SciencesChinese Academy of SciencesBeijingChina School of Environmental and Geographical SciencesShanghai Normal UniversityShanghaiChina College of Resources and EnvironmentUniversity of Chinese Academy of SciencesBeijingChina Institute of International Rivers and Eco-SecurityYunnan UniversityKunmingChina 

出 版 物：《Ecosystem Health and Sustainability》 (生态系统健康与可持续性（英文）)

年 卷 期：2022年第8卷第1期

页      面：181-193页

核心收录：

学科分类：0710[理学-生物学] 07[理学] 071002[理学-动物学] 

基　　金：This research was funded by the Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program(STEP)(Grant No.2019QZKK0307) the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.41925005 and 41701051) the Special Program of Research Center for Ecoenvironmental Sciences,at the Chinese Academy of Sciences(RCEES-TDZ-2021-11) 

主　　题：Migratory bird protected area climate change grus nigricollis 

摘      要：The protection of migratory birds and their habitats is important to the ecological stability of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau(QTP).Currently protected areas(PAs)were designed in accordance with species distribution patterns under current climatic conditions,thus ignoring climate change will lead to a decrease in the protection efficiency of *** this study,using the flagship species Grus nigricollis,as an example,we used the maximum entropy(MaxEnt)model to simulate the distributions and conservation status of *** and optimized the existing PA *** results showed that(1)suitable habitat-for *** accounts for 12.48%of the QTP area,and the PAs established under current climatic conditions cover 17.84%of this suitable habitat area;(2)future climate changes will influence the distribution and quality of *** habitats,and the average protection efficiency of the current PAs in four climatic scenarios will decrease from 17.84%to 15.31%;and(3)through optimization,the efficiency of existing PAs can be increased by 0.75 times and reach 28.37%,indicating PA planning must consider not only current climate conditions but also the effects of climate *** results aim to address shortcomings in the conservation efficiency of PAs and provide an example for resolving mismatched PA boundaries and habitat changes for species.