Supporting decision-making processes for selecting fire safety measures for road tunnels

作     者：Panagiotis Ntzeremes Konstantinos Kirytopoulos Panagiotis Ntzeremes;Konstantinos Kirytopoulos

作者机构：School of Mechanical EngineeringNational Technical University of AthensAthens 10682Greece 

出 版 物：《Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering(English Edition)》 (交通运输工程学报（英文版）)

年 卷 期：2022年第9卷第3期

页      面：473-489页

核心收录：

学科分类：08[工学] 0837[工学-安全科学与工程] 0714[理学-统计学（可授理学、经济学学位）] 0814[工学-土木工程] 0701[理学-数学] 0812[工学-计算机科学与技术（可授工学、理学学位）] 0823[工学-交通运输工程] 

基　　金：We express our gratitude to the editor and the two anonymous reviewers for both their time and the valuable comments provided that improved significantly our manuscript. 

主　　题：Road tunnel Critical infrastructure Decision-making Quantitative-risk-assessment 

摘      要：Selecting fires safety measures for road tunnels relies mainly on strict regulatory requirements. However, the choice should also be based on many different criteria and ranking of alternatives should take place. Existing methods exhibit lack in dealing rigorously with measures’ selection amongst different alternatives. This paper contributes to the body of knowledge by proposing a novel method, named EVADE, which aims to incorporate diverse stakeholders’ views and provide a meaningful ranking of alternatives.To do so, it estimates the tunnel level of safety taking into account only any standard measures existing. Subsequently, the performance of additional measures is examined.Then, a list of the most significant criteria that are valuable to judge the appropriateness of selected measures is introduced. The relative importance amongst the decision criteria is calculated through the Analytic Hierarchy Process, based on the expert opinion. Sensitivity analysis through Monte Carlo simulation is embedded to allow for a meaningful prioritization of the decision criteria. Thus, the alternatives’ ranking comes as a distribution instead of a single number, providing the decision-maker richer information for selecting the most suitable measure(s) according to the specific tunnel situation. At last, a typical tunnel is examined to showcase the utilization of the method.