The driving effect of informal economies on urbanization in China

作     者：HUANG Gengzhi XING Zuge WEI Chunzhu XUE Desheng HUANG Gengzhi;XING Zuge;WEI Chunzhu;XUE Desheng

作者机构：School of Geography and PlanningSun Yat-sen UniversityGuangzhou 510275China Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong LaboratoryZhuhai 519082GuangdongChina 

出 版 物：《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 (地理学报（英文版）)

年 卷 期：2022年第32卷第5期

页      面：785-805页

核心收录：

学科分类：12[管理学] 1204[管理学-公共管理] 02[经济学] 0201[经济学-理论经济学] 020105[经济学-世界经济] 

基　　金：National Natural Science Foundation of China,No.42122007,No.41930646 Guangdong Academy of Sciences Project of Science and Technology Development,No.2019GDASYL-0104004 

主　　题：urbanization informal economy regional differences driving force effect paths 

摘      要：This paper examines the rise of informal economies in China,a hidden driving force overlooked in studies on China’s *** the size of informal economies using the multiple indicators multiple causes model,the paper employs mathematical models to examine the driving effect of informal economies on urbanization and to reveal the paths by which such effect *** results were as follows.(1)In 2018,the size of the informal economy in China accounted for 23.5%of GDP with an output value of 21.16 trillion yuan.(2)The informal economy had a driving effect on China’s urbanization,and every 1-percentagepoint increase in its share of the GDP led to an increase of 0.291 percentage points in the urbanization rate.(3)The informal economy’s effect on urbanization showed regional differences,decreasing in size from the eastern to the central to the western regions.(4)The informal economy drives urbanization through four paths-by promoting foreign direct investment(FDI),fixed asset investment(FAI),social consumption(SC),and secondary sector employment(SSE).Their effect sizes are ranked in descending order as follows:FDIFAISC*** paper contributes to theories on urbanization dynamics and process in China by highlighting the role of the informal economy as a hidden economic power lurking in the city.