The past,present,and future of the Siberian Grouse(Falcipennis falcipennis)under glacial oscillations and global warming
The past,present,and future of the Siberian Grouse（Falcipennis falcipennis）under glacial oscillations and global warming作者机构：Key Laboratory of Animal Ecology and Conservation BiologyInstitute of ZoologyChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing100101China College of Life ScienceHebei UniversityBaoding071002China Lindenhöhe 5D-07749JenaGermany Faculty of Environmental Sciences and Natural Resource ManagementNorwegian University of Life SciencesPO Box 5003NO-1432ÅsNorway
出 版 物：《Avian Research》 (鸟类学研究（英文版）)
年 卷 期：2022年第13卷第1期
页 面：57-63页
核心收录：
主 题：Climate change Falcipennis falcipennis Ice age refugia Last glacial maximum
摘 要：Global climate change has a significant effect on species,as environment conditions change,causing many species distributions to *** the last three million years,the earth has experienced glacial oscillations,forcing some species to survive in ice-free refugia during glacial periods and then disperse *** this study,by assessing the potential distribution of Siberian Grouse(Falcipennis falcipennis),we used Global Circular Models and Representative Concentration Pathways to model their pattern of range changes during glacial oscillations and the potential impact of present global *** used 158 location records of Siberian Grouse to generate a full climate model using 19 bioclimate variables in *** discarded variables with a correlation coefficient larger than 0.8 and relatively lower modeling contributions between each pair of correlated *** the remaining variables,we created a normally uncorrelated simple climate model to predict the possible distribution of Siberian Grouse from the most recent Ice Age to present and to *** we added geographical data and the human interference index to construct a multiple factor full model to evaluate which were important in explaining the distribution of Siberian *** Total Suitability Zone(P≥0.33)of Siberian Grouse is about 243,000km^(2) and the Maximum Suitability Zone(P≥0.66)is 36,000km^(2) and is confined to the Russian Far *** habitat modeling suggested that annual precipitation,annual mean temperature,and the distance from lakes are the most explanatory variables for the current distribution of Siberian *** distribution center moved to the southeast during the Last Glacial Maximum and spread back to the northwest after the ice melted and temperatures *** total area range of Siberian Grouse experienced a dramatic loss during the Last Glacial *** warming is presently forcing the Siberian Grouse to migrate northward with a contraction of
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