Linking the past and present to predict the distribution of Asian crested ibis(Nipponia nippon)under global changes
作者机构：School of Geographical Sciences and Remote SensingGuangzhou UniversityGuangzhouChina Department of Natural ResourcesFaculty of Geo-Information Science and Earth ObservationUniversity of TwenteEnschedeThe Netherlands Department of Environmental ScienceNew South WalesMacquarie UniversityMacquarieAustralia College of Nature ConservationBeijing Forestry UniversityBeijingChina College of Life SciencesShaanxi Normal UniversityXi’anChina
出 版 物：《Integrative Zoology》 (整合动物学（英文版）)
年 卷 期：2022年第17卷第6期
页 面：1095-1105页
核心收录：
学科分类：0710[理学-生物学] 07[理学] 071002[理学-动物学]
基 金：supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.41901060,No.31672310) the National Key Research and Development Program of China(No.2016YFC0503200)
主 题：biogeography climate change ecological niche land-use change niche conservatism
摘 要：Understanding how species’ecological niches adapt to environmental changes through time is critical for predicting the effect of future global change on endangered *** few studies have incorporated knowledge of past niche shifting into the assessment of species’future fate in a changing *** this study,we integrated the ecological niche dynamics into the species distribution modeling of the Asian crested ibis(Nipponia nippon)in East ***fically,we compared historical and present ecological niches of crested ibis in four-dimensional environmental space based on species occurrence and environmental *** then employed a multi-temporal ecological niche model to estimate the potential geographical distribution of crested ibis under future climate and land-use *** results show that crested ibis retained similar though not identical ecological niches over *** to the historical baseline range,the current suitable habitat for crested ibis has been reduced by 39.6%.The effects of human activity outweigh those of climate change regarding the distribution of crested *** conclude that the ecological niche of crested ibis was tended to be conservative,and future potentially suitable habitat may encounter northeastward and northwestward shift,and possibly expand by 18.7%referred to the historical ***findings of our study are of clear importance for the conservation and successful reintroduction of crested ibis in East Asia.
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